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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.31+10.81vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.14+7.01vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.73+2.95vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.15+6.54vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.75+1.08vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.07+2.59vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.65+2.64vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.08+0.30vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.95-0.13vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-3.95vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.40-1.47vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.85+0.85vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-5.72vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.31-7.07vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.48-0.66vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.77-7.17vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.42-2.60vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.69-6.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.81Salve Regina University1.312.6%1st Place
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9.01Boston College2.144.9%1st Place
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5.95Yale University2.7312.2%1st Place
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10.54Tufts University2.153.6%1st Place
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6.08Dartmouth College2.7510.1%1st Place
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8.59Roger Williams University2.075.9%1st Place
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9.64Boston University1.654.4%1st Place
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8.3Bowdoin College2.086.9%1st Place
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8.87Connecticut College1.954.8%1st Place
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6.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4811.3%1st Place
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9.53Brown University2.404.9%1st Place
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12.85University of Vermont0.851.5%1st Place
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7.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.1%1st Place
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6.93Harvard University2.319.2%1st Place
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14.34Maine Maritime Academy0.480.9%1st Place
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8.83University of Rhode Island1.775.3%1st Place
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14.4Fairfield University0.421.6%1st Place
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11.99Northeastern University1.691.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Tullberg | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 7.1% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Jack Egan | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Micky Munns | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Walter Henry | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 13.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Zachary York | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 17.1% | 30.5% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 29.8% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.