← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.75+4.87vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+4.15vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.73+2.99vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.07+4.70vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College1.95+3.88vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.15+4.65vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.40+2.56vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.51vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.31-2.13vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College2.08-1.46vs Predicted
-
11Salve Regina University1.31+0.68vs Predicted
-
12Boston College2.14-3.09vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island1.77-4.25vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.69-2.16vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont0.85-2.49vs Predicted
-
16Maine Maritime Academy0.48-1.50vs Predicted
-
17Fairfield University0.42-2.56vs Predicted
-
18Boston University1.65-8.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.87Dartmouth College2.7513.2%1st Place
-
6.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.3%1st Place
-
5.99Yale University2.7311.2%1st Place
-
8.7Roger Williams University2.075.1%1st Place
-
8.88Connecticut College1.955.1%1st Place
-
10.65Tufts University2.153.6%1st Place
-
9.56Brown University2.404.5%1st Place
-
7.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.6%1st Place
-
6.87Harvard University2.318.8%1st Place
-
8.54Bowdoin College2.086.8%1st Place
-
11.68Salve Regina University1.312.0%1st Place
-
8.91Boston College2.144.8%1st Place
-
8.75University of Rhode Island1.775.8%1st Place
-
11.84Northeastern University1.693.0%1st Place
-
12.51University of Vermont0.852.1%1st Place
-
14.5Maine Maritime Academy0.480.8%1st Place
-
14.44Fairfield University0.421.2%1st Place
-
9.66Boston University1.655.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 13.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Walter Henry | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Henry Burnes | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 7.8% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 12.0% |
| Zachary York | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 17.8% | 29.6% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 11.9% | 17.8% | 29.7% |
| Micky Munns | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.