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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.08+7.48vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.31+4.99vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+3.02vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.14+4.88vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.69+6.90vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.53vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.15+3.57vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.40+1.56vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.65+0.58vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.75-3.98vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.73-4.97vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.77-3.15vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.95-3.97vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.07-5.53vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.31-3.23vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.48-1.59vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.85-4.38vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.42-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.48Bowdoin College2.085.2%1st Place
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6.99Harvard University2.318.8%1st Place
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6.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4812.0%1st Place
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8.88Boston College2.145.1%1st Place
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11.9Northeastern University1.692.4%1st Place
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7.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.6%1st Place
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10.57Tufts University2.154.0%1st Place
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9.56Brown University2.404.7%1st Place
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9.58Boston University1.655.1%1st Place
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6.02Dartmouth College2.7511.5%1st Place
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6.03Yale University2.7310.9%1st Place
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8.85University of Rhode Island1.775.2%1st Place
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9.03Connecticut College1.955.4%1st Place
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8.47Roger Williams University2.075.7%1st Place
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11.77Salve Regina University1.313.0%1st Place
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14.41Maine Maritime Academy0.481.1%1st Place
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12.62University of Vermont0.851.5%1st Place
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14.31Fairfield University0.421.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Lukens | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Colman Schofield | 12.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.6% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Micky Munns | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Egan | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Walter Henry | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 6.4% |
| Zachary York | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 11.7% | 17.2% | 29.5% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 12.6% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 16.5% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.