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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.31+5.88vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.73+4.07vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.95+5.95vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.40+5.43vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.31+6.70vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.69+6.02vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.75-0.77vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.65+1.42vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.15+1.67vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-2.63vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.08-2.58vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.77-3.11vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.48+1.30vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-7.90vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.85-2.44vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.07-7.31vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.14-8.18vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.42-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.88Harvard University2.319.5%1st Place
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6.07Yale University2.7310.8%1st Place
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8.95Connecticut College1.955.9%1st Place
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9.43Brown University2.405.1%1st Place
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11.7Salve Regina University1.312.4%1st Place
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12.02Northeastern University1.692.4%1st Place
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6.23Dartmouth College2.7511.8%1st Place
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9.42Boston University1.655.0%1st Place
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10.67Tufts University2.153.2%1st Place
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7.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.6%1st Place
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8.42Bowdoin College2.086.2%1st Place
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8.89University of Rhode Island1.775.1%1st Place
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14.3Maine Maritime Academy0.481.1%1st Place
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6.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4811.2%1st Place
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12.56University of Vermont0.852.5%1st Place
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8.69Roger Williams University2.074.5%1st Place
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8.82Boston College2.144.5%1st Place
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14.48Fairfield University0.421.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Burnes | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Walter Henry | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Jack Murphy | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 7.6% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.8% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Micky Munns | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 3.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Zachary York | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 17.1% | 28.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 11.6% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 17.5% | 31.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.