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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+3.49vs Predicted
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2Clemson University1.88+1.41vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.51+3.45vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.30-1.30vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.14-0.01vs Predicted
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6Duke University0.72-0.03vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-0.45+1.63vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.42-1.40vs Predicted
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9Auburn University-0.78+0.42vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee0.16-2.73vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-1.09-0.86vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.08-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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3.41Clemson University1.880.2%1st Place
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6.45Clemson University0.510.1%1st Place
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2.7College of Charleston2.300.3%1st Place
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4.99North Carolina State University1.140.1%1st Place
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5.97Duke University0.720.1%1st Place
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8.63University of Georgia-0.450.0%1st Place
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6.6The Citadel0.420.1%1st Place
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9.42Auburn University-0.780.0%1st Place
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7.27University of Tennessee0.160.0%1st Place
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10.14North Carolina State University-1.090.0%1st Place
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7.93University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Reddaway | 11.7% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| John Roberts | 19.0% | 20.2% | 17.7% | 16.7% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Rutledge | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 1.0% |
| Nicole Hause | 30.7% | 22.6% | 20.6% | 11.9% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benton Morton | 9.1% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Katsis | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Weber | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 16.1% | 18.9% | 14.9% |
| Robert Marshall | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Brent DeAngelis | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 23.0% | 24.1% |
| Patrick Kopiwoda | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 4.9% |
| Nichole Palen | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 17.8% | 42.9% |
| Jeffrey Pyles | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 17.5% | 13.3% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.