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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.62+2.52vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.14+0.78vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.13-0.19vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria0.40+0.53vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria1.08-1.49vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.49-3.24vs Predicted
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8University of Puget Sound-0.81-0.92vs Predicted
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11University of Puget Sound0.03-4.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52Western Washington University1.620.2%1st Place
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2.78University of Washington2.140.3%1st Place
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2.81University of Washington2.130.3%1st Place
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5.53University of Victoria0.400.0%1st Place
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4.51University of Victoria1.080.1%1st Place
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3.76Western Washington University1.490.1%1st Place
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7.08University of Puget Sound-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.01University of Puget Sound0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Vincent | 16.7% | 16.0% | 19.1% | 17.9% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Antonio Johnson | 25.6% | 24.2% | 20.4% | 13.9% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Sainsbury | 26.4% | 21.9% | 21.0% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Meigan Blunt | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 19.2% | 27.4% | 12.1% |
| Martin Van Den Berghe | 7.7% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 17.1% | 18.2% | 18.9% | 12.2% | 3.6% |
| Andrew Nelson | 14.0% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 17.7% | 13.1% | 5.7% | 1.2% |
| Hannah Schneider-Lynch | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 16.6% | 61.9% |
| Michael Trombatore | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 20.0% | 30.9% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.