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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.34+5.54vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.29+4.20vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+4.84vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.68+1.70vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.18-1.11vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.22+5.62vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.37+0.28vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.58-1.55vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.48+0.15vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.20+1.00vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.22-4.46vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.42-2.67vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.07-0.87vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40-3.37vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.20-1.67vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.80-4.82vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.06-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.54Dartmouth College2.348.2%1st Place
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6.2Yale University2.299.0%1st Place
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7.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.586.3%1st Place
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5.7Roger Williams University2.689.8%1st Place
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3.89Harvard University3.1820.8%1st Place
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11.62Northeastern University1.222.2%1st Place
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7.28Brown University2.376.7%1st Place
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6.45Boston College2.589.2%1st Place
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9.15Bowdoin College1.483.9%1st Place
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11.0Connecticut College1.202.6%1st Place
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6.54Tufts University2.227.9%1st Place
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9.33University of Rhode Island1.424.0%1st Place
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12.13Boston University1.071.4%1st Place
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10.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.403.1%1st Place
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13.33Salve Regina University0.201.5%1st Place
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11.18University of Vermont0.802.5%1st Place
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14.2Maine Maritime Academy-0.060.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Decker | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 20.8% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 8.3% |
| Blake Behrens | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Peter Busch | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 5.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Porter Bell | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 12.4% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.2% |
| Jack Schneider | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 18.6% | 23.5% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 5.5% |
| Finn Deprez | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 36.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.