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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Tomas Riccio 11.5% 11.8% 11.1% 9.9% 10.1% 9.2% 9.8% 8.2% 7.4% 5.9% 3.5% 1.6% 0.1%
Courtland Doyle 14.8% 13.7% 13.9% 12.4% 11.2% 10.3% 7.8% 5.4% 4.9% 3.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Charles Wilkinson 12.2% 12.0% 12.1% 11.1% 8.9% 9.4% 8.1% 8.2% 7.8% 5.2% 3.5% 1.2% 0.2%
Marc Leyk 4.0% 5.0% 5.1% 5.0% 5.3% 6.7% 5.9% 9.0% 9.2% 11.6% 14.3% 15.2% 3.5%
Ethan Burt 12.9% 12.8% 10.1% 11.7% 10.2% 10.5% 8.6% 8.1% 6.3% 4.9% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Cameron Silvers 7.3% 8.0% 8.0% 7.1% 9.3% 8.9% 9.9% 10.4% 8.5% 9.6% 7.7% 4.5% 0.7%
Jakub Fuja 7.8% 6.9% 8.5% 8.6% 9.7% 9.0% 9.9% 10.3% 9.8% 8.3% 7.2% 3.4% 0.7%
William Hurd 10.7% 11.1% 10.1% 10.9% 10.8% 8.6% 10.4% 8.6% 7.0% 5.1% 4.3% 1.9% 0.4%
Emil Tullberg 8.0% 8.2% 9.1% 8.2% 9.5% 9.2% 8.7% 9.0% 9.4% 8.9% 7.3% 4.0% 0.2%
James Frady 2.4% 2.5% 2.9% 3.3% 3.2% 4.2% 4.7% 6.6% 7.1% 10.7% 14.2% 28.8% 9.5%
Kamron Kaiser 4.5% 4.4% 5.3% 7.1% 6.5% 7.5% 8.6% 7.8% 10.4% 12.8% 12.8% 10.5% 1.8%
Luke Barker 3.8% 3.2% 3.8% 4.0% 4.5% 5.9% 6.8% 7.0% 10.2% 12.0% 16.5% 17.9% 4.5%
Brooklyn Geary 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.9% 1.4% 1.9% 1.8% 3.8% 9.3% 78.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.