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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.01+4.32vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.20+2.53vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.00+2.18vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute-0.08+4.14vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.06+0.05vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.53+0.49vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.94-0.64vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.00-2.55vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.46-2.72vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.61-0.48vs Predicted
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11Florida State University0.12-3.30vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College-0.13-3.34vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.46-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.0111.5%1st Place
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4.53Tufts University1.2014.8%1st Place
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5.18Northeastern University1.0012.2%1st Place
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8.14Webb Institute-0.084.0%1st Place
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5.05University of Vermont1.0612.9%1st Place
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6.49University of Rhode Island0.537.3%1st Place
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6.36Roger Williams University0.947.8%1st Place
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5.45Connecticut College1.0010.7%1st Place
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6.28Salve Regina University0.468.0%1st Place
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9.52University of New Hampshire-0.612.4%1st Place
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7.7Florida State University0.124.5%1st Place
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8.66SUNY Maritime College-0.133.8%1st Place
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12.33University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.460.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tomas Riccio | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
Courtland Doyle | 14.8% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Charles Wilkinson | 12.2% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Marc Leyk | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 3.5% |
Ethan Burt | 12.9% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Cameron Silvers | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
Jakub Fuja | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
William Hurd | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
Emil Tullberg | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
James Frady | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 28.8% | 9.5% |
Kamron Kaiser | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 1.8% |
Luke Barker | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 16.5% | 17.9% | 4.5% |
Brooklyn Geary | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 9.3% | 78.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.