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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.31+6.01vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.73+4.15vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.40+6.49vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.45+3.43vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+2.56vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.15+4.59vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.75-0.87vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.77+0.71vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.95-0.02vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.69+1.97vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.08-2.43vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.14-3.09vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.65-3.24vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.71-1.22vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-8.71vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.48-1.64vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.31-5.16vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.42-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.01Harvard University2.318.0%1st Place
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6.15Yale University2.7311.6%1st Place
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9.49Brown University2.404.5%1st Place
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7.43Roger Williams University2.457.4%1st Place
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7.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.1%1st Place
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10.59Tufts University2.153.3%1st Place
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6.13Dartmouth College2.7510.8%1st Place
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8.71University of Rhode Island1.775.9%1st Place
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8.98Connecticut College1.955.1%1st Place
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11.97Northeastern University1.692.5%1st Place
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8.57Bowdoin College2.085.8%1st Place
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8.91Boston College2.145.5%1st Place
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9.76Boston University1.654.5%1st Place
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12.78University of Vermont0.711.7%1st Place
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6.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4811.5%1st Place
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14.36Maine Maritime Academy0.481.2%1st Place
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11.84Salve Regina University1.312.5%1st Place
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14.48Fairfield University0.421.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Burnes | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Walter Henry | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 7.9% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Micky Munns | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 12.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachary York | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 12.1% | 17.2% | 29.7% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 17.1% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.