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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.08+7.56vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.31+4.93vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.40+6.67vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.45+3.11vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.15+5.72vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.61vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.95+2.02vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.75-1.89vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-2.83vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.65-0.23vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.31+0.68vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.73-5.81vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.14-3.94vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.71-1.27vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.69-3.09vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.42-1.58vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.77-8.02vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.48-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.56Bowdoin College2.085.4%1st Place
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6.93Harvard University2.319.4%1st Place
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9.67Brown University2.404.2%1st Place
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7.11Roger Williams University2.458.1%1st Place
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10.72Tufts University2.153.4%1st Place
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7.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.9%1st Place
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9.02Connecticut College1.955.7%1st Place
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6.11Dartmouth College2.7511.0%1st Place
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6.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.2%1st Place
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9.77Boston University1.654.5%1st Place
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11.68Salve Regina University1.312.9%1st Place
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6.19Yale University2.7311.3%1st Place
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9.06Boston College2.144.5%1st Place
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12.73University of Vermont0.711.8%1st Place
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11.91Northeastern University1.693.4%1st Place
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14.42Fairfield University0.421.2%1st Place
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8.98University of Rhode Island1.774.9%1st Place
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14.34Maine Maritime Academy0.481.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Lukens | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Henry Burnes | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 3.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Walter Henry | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.0% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 7.4% |
| Jack Egan | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 11.9% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 7.8% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 16.4% | 31.4% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Zachary York | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 17.1% | 28.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.