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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+6.64vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.65+7.73vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.73+2.98vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.69+7.88vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.95+3.97vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.75+0.09vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.15+3.63vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.77+1.01vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.45-1.62vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University0.42+4.46vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-4.82vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.14-2.87vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.71-0.26vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.31-7.12vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.08-6.60vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.40-6.46vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.48-2.51vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.31-6.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.1%1st Place
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9.73Boston University1.654.3%1st Place
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5.98Yale University2.7310.2%1st Place
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11.88Northeastern University1.693.1%1st Place
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8.97Connecticut College1.955.1%1st Place
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6.09Dartmouth College2.7511.3%1st Place
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10.63Tufts University2.153.2%1st Place
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9.01University of Rhode Island1.775.9%1st Place
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7.38Roger Williams University2.458.3%1st Place
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14.46Fairfield University0.421.2%1st Place
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6.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.4%1st Place
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9.13Boston College2.144.5%1st Place
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12.74University of Vermont0.711.8%1st Place
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6.88Harvard University2.319.3%1st Place
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8.4Bowdoin College2.086.5%1st Place
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9.54Brown University2.404.0%1st Place
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14.49Maine Maritime Academy0.480.9%1st Place
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11.85Salve Regina University1.312.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Micky Munns | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Jack Egan | 10.2% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% |
| Walter Henry | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 3.4% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 17.0% | 28.3% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 11.7% |
| Henry Burnes | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Zachary York | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 17.2% | 30.5% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.