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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.74+0.87vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.99+2.42vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.38+0.72vs Predicted
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4Clemson University1.41-0.34vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.07+1.62vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68-0.93vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-1.71+2.84vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-0.54-0.44vs Predicted
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9Auburn University-1.38+0.32vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-0.69-2.14vs Predicted
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11University of Tennessee-1.45-1.39vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.90-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87College of Charleston2.740.5%1st Place
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4.42The Citadel0.990.1%1st Place
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3.72North Carolina State University1.380.1%1st Place
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3.66Clemson University1.410.1%1st Place
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6.62Duke University-0.070.0%1st Place
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5.07University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.1%1st Place
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9.84University of Georgia-1.710.0%1st Place
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7.56Clemson University-0.540.0%1st Place
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9.32Auburn University-1.380.0%1st Place
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7.86North Carolina State University-0.690.0%1st Place
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9.61University of Tennessee-1.450.0%1st Place
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8.46Georgia Institute of Technology-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mackey | 50.7% | 26.4% | 13.5% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hammond Edwards | 7.3% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 13.5% | 16.3% | 19.5% | 16.5% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hugh Forester-Bennett | 12.8% | 18.0% | 19.6% | 19.5% | 13.7% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hans Lie-Nielsen | 2.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Cassie Todd | 6.4% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stolorena | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 20.9% | 32.9% |
| Cali McGovern | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 18.0% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 4.0% |
| Sullivan Madewell | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 17.1% | 19.7% | 19.6% |
| Paulina Spencer | 1.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 5.9% |
| Benjamin Murphy | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 18.7% | 28.0% |
| Scott Claudon | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.