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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.15+9.75vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.40+7.59vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.08+5.75vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.49vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.73+1.06vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.45+1.27vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.65+2.68vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.95+1.01vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.14-0.14vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.69+1.95vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.31-4.07vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-5.90vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.75-6.99vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.48+0.37vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.77-6.09vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.31-4.11vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.71-4.22vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.42-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.75Tufts University2.152.6%1st Place
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9.59Brown University2.404.5%1st Place
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8.75Bowdoin College2.085.2%1st Place
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7.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.8%1st Place
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6.06Yale University2.7310.4%1st Place
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7.27Roger Williams University2.457.8%1st Place
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9.68Boston University1.655.0%1st Place
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9.01Connecticut College1.955.1%1st Place
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8.86Boston College2.144.8%1st Place
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11.95Northeastern University1.692.5%1st Place
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6.93Harvard University2.319.2%1st Place
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6.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.9%1st Place
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6.01Dartmouth College2.7511.8%1st Place
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14.37Maine Maritime Academy0.481.1%1st Place
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8.91University of Rhode Island1.775.3%1st Place
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11.89Salve Regina University1.312.8%1st Place
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12.78University of Vermont0.712.1%1st Place
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14.61Fairfield University0.421.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ansgar Jordan | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Jack Egan | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Micky Munns | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Walter Henry | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 8.6% |
| Henry Burnes | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary York | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 17.1% | 28.7% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 6.9% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 12.6% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 17.8% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.