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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+5.14vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.45+5.35vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.73+3.04vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.65+5.76vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.69+7.02vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.40+3.65vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.31-0.16vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.55vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.77-0.01vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-3.70vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.95-2.00vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.14-2.85vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.71-0.34vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.31-2.30vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.48-0.72vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.08-7.33vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.15-6.50vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.42-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14Dartmouth College2.7510.7%1st Place
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7.35Roger Williams University2.457.8%1st Place
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6.04Yale University2.7311.3%1st Place
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9.76Boston University1.654.8%1st Place
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12.02Northeastern University1.692.5%1st Place
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9.65Brown University2.404.3%1st Place
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6.84Harvard University2.318.6%1st Place
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7.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.2%1st Place
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8.99University of Rhode Island1.775.7%1st Place
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6.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.1%1st Place
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9.0Connecticut College1.955.2%1st Place
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9.15Boston College2.144.6%1st Place
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12.66University of Vermont0.712.1%1st Place
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11.7Salve Regina University1.312.7%1st Place
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14.28Maine Maritime Academy0.481.6%1st Place
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8.67Bowdoin College2.086.2%1st Place
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10.5Tufts University2.153.8%1st Place
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14.49Fairfield University0.420.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jack Egan | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.5% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Henry Burnes | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Walter Henry | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 13.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 7.5% |
| Zachary York | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 17.1% | 28.9% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 18.8% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.