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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.31+5.93vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.77+7.02vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.73+3.06vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.69+8.04vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.75+1.30vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.40+3.70vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.45+0.35vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.70vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-2.90vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.08-1.49vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.65-1.11vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.15-1.36vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University0.42+1.57vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.95-5.00vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.14-5.99vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.48-1.71vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.71-4.60vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.31-6.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.93Harvard University2.318.1%1st Place
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9.02University of Rhode Island1.775.4%1st Place
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6.06Yale University2.7310.5%1st Place
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12.04Northeastern University1.692.7%1st Place
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6.3Dartmouth College2.759.4%1st Place
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9.7Brown University2.403.6%1st Place
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7.35Roger Williams University2.458.5%1st Place
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7.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.1%1st Place
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6.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4811.3%1st Place
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8.51Bowdoin College2.086.0%1st Place
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9.89Boston University1.654.5%1st Place
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10.64Tufts University2.153.4%1st Place
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14.57Fairfield University0.420.6%1st Place
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9.0Connecticut College1.956.0%1st Place
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9.01Boston College2.145.7%1st Place
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14.29Maine Maritime Academy0.481.3%1st Place
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12.4University of Vermont0.712.8%1st Place
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11.88Salve Regina University1.312.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Burnes | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Jack Egan | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Murphy | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Micky Munns | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 3.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 16.7% | 31.6% |
| Walter Henry | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Zachary York | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 17.9% | 28.1% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 10.7% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.