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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.40+8.64vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+5.31vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.75+3.13vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+2.25vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.14+4.02vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.45+1.36vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.69+5.09vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.31-1.11vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.73-2.81vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.95-1.04vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.65-1.05vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.71+0.88vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.15-2.51vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.08-5.53vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.31-3.36vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.48-1.69vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.42-2.52vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.77-9.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.64Brown University2.404.5%1st Place
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7.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.1%1st Place
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6.13Dartmouth College2.7511.8%1st Place
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6.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.3%1st Place
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9.02Boston College2.144.5%1st Place
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7.36Roger Williams University2.457.5%1st Place
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12.09Northeastern University1.692.3%1st Place
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6.89Harvard University2.318.3%1st Place
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6.19Yale University2.7312.3%1st Place
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8.96Connecticut College1.955.2%1st Place
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9.95Boston University1.654.0%1st Place
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12.88University of Vermont0.711.8%1st Place
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10.49Tufts University2.153.6%1st Place
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8.47Bowdoin College2.085.8%1st Place
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11.64Salve Regina University1.312.9%1st Place
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14.31Maine Maritime Academy0.481.4%1st Place
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14.48Fairfield University0.421.1%1st Place
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8.96University of Rhode Island1.775.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Murphy | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 8.5% |
| Henry Burnes | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jack Egan | 12.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Walter Henry | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Micky Munns | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 13.2% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 6.7% |
| Zachary York | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 17.3% | 28.3% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 16.5% | 32.6% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.