Race 3A

odu-spring-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Jack Swikart 16.8% 15.2% 12.4% 13.2% 11.6% 7.8% 5.5% 5.4% 5.9% 2.3% 2.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Veronica Maccari 5.7% 8.2% 7.1% 8.7% 7.6% 8.4% 7.9% 7.0% 7.8% 8.3% 6.9% 7.0% 4.5% 2.8% 1.7% 0.4%
Kyle Burgess 11.5% 9.4% 9.8% 10.0% 9.5% 11.0% 9.5% 8.3% 6.0% 6.8% 3.4% 2.0% 1.0% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Mary Margaret Meehan 2.2% 2.9% 2.6% 2.4% 4.5% 4.5% 3.9% 4.6% 7.0% 5.8% 7.3% 10.0% 9.9% 11.2% 11.9% 9.3%
Carolyn Smith 13.3% 13.8% 12.2% 13.2% 8.9% 9.6% 7.5% 7.4% 5.5% 4.0% 1.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Rachel Austin 6.6% 6.9% 8.9% 7.4% 9.2% 8.6% 8.7% 9.0% 7.5% 7.4% 6.1% 5.1% 3.9% 3.1% 1.4% 0.2%
Ben Buhl 8.2% 8.3% 7.8% 8.5% 7.9% 9.2% 8.3% 6.7% 8.9% 6.7% 7.5% 4.5% 4.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.0%
Chris Myers 3.8% 3.8% 4.1% 4.0% 5.0% 5.6% 5.9% 8.2% 5.4% 7.2% 10.1% 10.1% 11.0% 6.9% 6.2% 2.7%
Hannah McNomee 10.2% 9.8% 10.7% 8.8% 10.7% 9.1% 8.1% 7.1% 7.0% 5.6% 5.5% 2.3% 3.2% 0.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Bill Parker 2.6% 3.2% 3.5% 3.3% 2.8% 2.8% 5.0% 5.3% 5.4% 6.9% 10.4% 10.5% 11.3% 11.6% 9.7% 5.7%
Conor Cashel 10.3% 7.7% 8.5% 8.4% 8.4% 7.6% 9.9% 9.3% 8.1% 7.9% 4.9% 4.4% 1.7% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2%
Matthew Guenther 0.8% 1.3% 2.0% 1.1% 2.1% 2.1% 2.2% 3.0% 3.4% 5.0% 5.1% 7.7% 8.3% 11.4% 15.8% 28.7%
Charles Skord 3.3% 3.5% 5.0% 5.7% 5.3% 5.6% 7.3% 5.4% 9.0% 8.3% 9.1% 9.7% 8.4% 8.3% 3.8% 2.3%
Andrew Beckmann 2.4% 2.0% 3.4% 2.1% 3.1% 3.6% 4.8% 6.3% 5.6% 6.4% 8.0% 11.1% 11.4% 11.0% 10.3% 8.5%
Constantine Spentzos 1.6% 2.2% 1.3% 2.0% 1.6% 2.5% 3.6% 3.8% 5.0% 5.7% 7.0% 8.1% 10.4% 13.5% 18.1% 13.6%
Andrew Grasso 0.7% 1.8% 0.7% 1.2% 1.8% 2.0% 1.9% 3.2% 2.5% 5.7% 4.4% 5.2% 9.2% 13.4% 18.0% 28.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.