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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+5.22vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+5.47vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.73+3.08vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.15+6.51vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.31+6.82vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.45+1.37vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-0.93vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.48+6.15vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.31-2.07vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.65-0.41vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.14-2.06vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.95-2.73vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.71-0.10vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.77-5.13vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.08-6.33vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.69-4.05vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.40-7.24vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.42-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22Dartmouth College2.7511.1%1st Place
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7.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.5%1st Place
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6.08Yale University2.7311.2%1st Place
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10.51Tufts University2.153.8%1st Place
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11.82Salve Regina University1.312.5%1st Place
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7.37Roger Williams University2.458.5%1st Place
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6.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.8%1st Place
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14.15Maine Maritime Academy0.481.2%1st Place
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6.93Harvard University2.318.2%1st Place
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9.59Boston University1.654.2%1st Place
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8.94Boston College2.144.9%1st Place
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9.27Connecticut College1.954.7%1st Place
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12.9University of Vermont0.712.5%1st Place
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8.87University of Rhode Island1.775.0%1st Place
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8.67Bowdoin College2.085.1%1st Place
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11.95Northeastern University1.692.8%1st Place
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9.76Brown University2.403.6%1st Place
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14.4Fairfield University0.421.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jack Egan | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 7.9% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Zachary York | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 27.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Micky Munns | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Walter Henry | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 13.9% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.5% |
| Jack Murphy | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 17.2% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.