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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+5.18vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.77+6.73vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.73+3.01vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.14+4.98vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.45+2.32vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.31+1.25vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.40+2.58vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.03+0.36vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-1.51vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-3.81vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.15-0.46vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.48+2.42vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.31-1.03vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.69-2.06vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.95-6.06vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.71-3.20vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.42-2.39vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.65-8.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18Dartmouth College2.7511.5%1st Place
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8.73University of Rhode Island1.775.5%1st Place
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6.01Yale University2.7311.8%1st Place
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8.98Boston College2.145.8%1st Place
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7.32Roger Williams University2.457.5%1st Place
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7.25Harvard University2.316.8%1st Place
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9.58Brown University2.405.1%1st Place
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8.36Bowdoin College2.036.4%1st Place
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7.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.8%1st Place
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6.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.5%1st Place
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10.54Tufts University2.153.1%1st Place
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14.42Maine Maritime Academy0.481.1%1st Place
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11.97Salve Regina University1.312.5%1st Place
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11.94Northeastern University1.692.4%1st Place
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8.94Connecticut College1.955.8%1st Place
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12.8University of Vermont0.711.6%1st Place
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14.61Fairfield University0.421.1%1st Place
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9.7Boston University1.654.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Jack Egan | 11.8% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Murphy | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Zachary York | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 17.0% | 28.6% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 7.2% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 8.3% |
| Walter Henry | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 13.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 16.5% | 31.6% |
| Micky Munns | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.