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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.40+8.53vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.73+4.11vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.14+6.10vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.61vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.75+1.07vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.45+1.42vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.77+1.81vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.31-0.88vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.15+1.53vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.31+1.77vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.65-1.16vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-5.81vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.69-1.14vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.71-1.24vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.95-6.12vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.48-1.65vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.42-2.56vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.03-9.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.53Brown University2.404.5%1st Place
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6.11Yale University2.7311.2%1st Place
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9.1Boston College2.144.5%1st Place
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7.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.3%1st Place
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6.07Dartmouth College2.7510.3%1st Place
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7.42Roger Williams University2.457.7%1st Place
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8.81University of Rhode Island1.775.0%1st Place
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7.12Harvard University2.319.2%1st Place
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10.53Tufts University2.153.2%1st Place
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11.77Salve Regina University1.312.8%1st Place
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9.84Boston University1.653.6%1st Place
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6.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4811.8%1st Place
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11.86Northeastern University1.692.5%1st Place
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12.76University of Vermont0.712.3%1st Place
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8.88Connecticut College1.955.8%1st Place
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14.35Maine Maritime Academy0.481.1%1st Place
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14.44Fairfield University0.421.0%1st Place
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8.61Bowdoin College2.035.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Murphy | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Jack Egan | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Henry Burnes | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 3.9% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 8.2% |
| Micky Munns | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 8.9% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 11.3% |
| Walter Henry | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Zachary York | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 18.4% | 28.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 16.1% | 30.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.