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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.00+4.34vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.20+2.73vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.53+3.55vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.06+1.05vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.00+0.56vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.12+1.91vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.94-0.60vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute-0.08+0.20vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.46-2.65vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.01-4.88vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.61-1.30vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College-0.02-4.27vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.46-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34Northeastern University1.0011.2%1st Place
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4.73Tufts University1.2013.7%1st Place
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6.55University of Rhode Island0.537.8%1st Place
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5.05University of Vermont1.0611.9%1st Place
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5.56Connecticut College1.0011.2%1st Place
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7.91Florida State University0.125.0%1st Place
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6.4Roger Williams University0.948.5%1st Place
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8.2Webb Institute-0.084.0%1st Place
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6.35Salve Regina University0.467.8%1st Place
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5.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.0112.2%1st Place
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9.7University of New Hampshire-0.611.5%1st Place
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7.73SUNY Maritime College-0.024.9%1st Place
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12.35University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.460.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charles Wilkinson | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
Courtland Doyle | 13.7% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Cameron Silvers | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
Ethan Burt | 11.9% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
William Hurd | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
Kamron Kaiser | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 1.8% |
Jakub Fuja | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
Marc Leyk | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 3.8% |
Emil Tullberg | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
Tomas Riccio | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
James Frady | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 33.1% | 8.9% |
Jeremy Lunati | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 2.2% |
Brooklyn Geary | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 7.9% | 80.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.