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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+4.95vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.15+8.68vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.69+9.00vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.14+4.90vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.77+3.87vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.26vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.31-0.08vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.07+0.47vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.75-2.94vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.85+2.70vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.65-1.26vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.42+2.52vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.31-1.32vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.95-5.10vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.40-5.35vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.48-1.69vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.03-8.70vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-11.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95Yale University2.7311.2%1st Place
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10.68Tufts University2.153.6%1st Place
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12.0Northeastern University1.692.1%1st Place
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8.9Boston College2.144.9%1st Place
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8.87University of Rhode Island1.776.0%1st Place
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7.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.5%1st Place
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6.92Harvard University2.319.5%1st Place
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8.47Roger Williams University2.075.3%1st Place
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6.06Dartmouth College2.7511.2%1st Place
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12.7University of Vermont0.851.8%1st Place
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9.74Boston University1.654.4%1st Place
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14.52Fairfield University0.421.1%1st Place
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11.68Salve Regina University1.313.0%1st Place
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8.9Connecticut College1.955.9%1st Place
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9.65Brown University2.403.5%1st Place
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14.31Maine Maritime Academy0.481.3%1st Place
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8.3Bowdoin College2.036.3%1st Place
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6.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4811.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 3.6% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Henry Burnes | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 11.4% |
| Micky Munns | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 17.0% | 31.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% |
| Walter Henry | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Jack Murphy | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Zachary York | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 16.2% | 29.4% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Colman Schofield | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.