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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+5.05vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.15+8.61vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.75+3.11vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.14+4.95vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.45+2.30vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.95+3.12vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+0.53vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.65+1.72vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.73-2.90vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.77-1.02vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.40-1.33vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.69+0.04vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.08-4.52vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.85-1.40vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.31-2.93vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.31-9.09vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.48-2.68vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.42-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4810.9%1st Place
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10.61Tufts University2.153.0%1st Place
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6.11Dartmouth College2.7510.5%1st Place
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8.95Boston College2.145.6%1st Place
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7.3Roger Williams University2.457.8%1st Place
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9.12Connecticut College1.955.1%1st Place
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7.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.6%1st Place
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9.72Boston University1.654.2%1st Place
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6.1Yale University2.7311.2%1st Place
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8.98University of Rhode Island1.774.3%1st Place
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9.67Brown University2.404.3%1st Place
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12.04Northeastern University1.692.5%1st Place
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8.48Bowdoin College2.086.3%1st Place
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12.6University of Vermont0.851.8%1st Place
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12.07Salve Regina University1.312.1%1st Place
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6.91Harvard University2.318.7%1st Place
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14.32Maine Maritime Academy0.481.1%1st Place
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14.46Fairfield University0.421.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Walter Henry | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Micky Munns | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Jack Egan | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 8.6% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 11.3% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.5% |
| Henry Burnes | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Zachary York | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 17.8% | 27.6% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 16.5% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.