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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.28+6.17vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76+3.68vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.16+1.55vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.67+2.14vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University2.46+1.70vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.40+0.95vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-2.05vs Predicted
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8Columbia University2.55-1.74vs Predicted
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9William and Mary1.37+1.34vs Predicted
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10Columbia University1.30+0.66vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook0.94+0.66vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy1.22-1.16vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.76-3.98vs Predicted
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14Drexel University1.64-4.63vs Predicted
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15Princeton University0.55-2.12vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology0.57-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17Hampton University2.280.1%1st Place
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5.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.1%1st Place
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4.55University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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6.14George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.7Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
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6.95Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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4.95St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.26Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.34William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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10.66Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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11.66SUNY Stony Brook0.940.0%1st Place
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10.84U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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9.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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9.37Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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12.88Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
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12.83Stevens Institute of Technology0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Maccari | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Burgess | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Swikart | 16.6% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ben Buhl | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Austin | 7.3% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 14.5% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Bill Parker | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 6.4% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 15.1% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.2% |
| Charles Skord | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Chris Myers | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Grasso | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 18.7% | 28.1% |
| Matthew Guenther | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 18.2% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.