Race 1A

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Bridget Green 26.1% 20.8% 16.2% 12.2% 9.4% 7.3% 3.8% 2.1% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Olivia de Olazarra 11.5% 10.4% 10.1% 12.8% 10.5% 10.5% 9.3% 9.3% 6.7% 4.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.5%
Clara Guarascio 2.5% 2.5% 2.4% 3.4% 4.5% 4.7% 6.6% 7.3% 9.2% 11.2% 16.9% 17.1% 11.9%
Bridget Groble 7.8% 8.8% 9.5% 8.9% 9.6% 10.1% 9.7% 10.4% 10.1% 7.7% 5.0% 2.0% 0.4%
Chiara Perotti Correa 8.4% 8.3% 8.8% 8.3% 10.1% 9.3% 10.0% 9.3% 9.0% 9.3% 5.8% 2.9% 0.6%
Katherine Bennett 7.9% 10.3% 11.5% 9.9% 10.1% 11.5% 9.9% 9.6% 7.5% 5.5% 4.4% 1.9% 0.1%
Amanda Majernik 8.6% 10.1% 9.8% 10.3% 10.2% 9.4% 8.8% 10.0% 8.5% 7.7% 4.3% 1.9% 0.4%
Victroia Flatley 6.1% 7.3% 7.1% 7.6% 8.6% 8.9% 10.4% 8.8% 11.2% 10.7% 7.3% 4.6% 1.2%
Sunrae Sturmer 1.5% 2.1% 2.8% 2.7% 3.1% 3.9% 3.4% 5.3% 7.6% 11.7% 14.8% 20.8% 20.3%
Ella Withington 7.8% 7.5% 8.3% 8.8% 9.3% 9.4% 10.1% 10.5% 9.3% 8.2% 6.9% 3.1% 0.7%
Riley Kloc 8.8% 9.0% 9.2% 10.8% 10.4% 10.2% 11.3% 9.6% 8.1% 6.5% 3.9% 1.5% 0.7%
Hannah Mercurio 1.4% 1.6% 2.2% 2.1% 1.8% 2.5% 3.8% 3.6% 5.1% 6.7% 13.7% 22.5% 33.0%
Kristin Hess 1.5% 1.2% 2.1% 2.1% 2.2% 2.3% 3.1% 4.1% 6.6% 9.8% 14.0% 20.7% 30.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.