Race 2A

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Bridget Green 25.7% 20.6% 16.7% 12.4% 9.6% 5.9% 4.5% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia de Olazarra 11.0% 11.2% 10.7% 12.9% 10.4% 8.8% 9.2% 9.1% 6.2% 6.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.1%
Chiara Perotti Correa 7.6% 8.8% 10.1% 7.8% 9.0% 10.0% 9.2% 11.2% 9.1% 8.1% 5.9% 2.4% 0.8%
Victroia Flatley 5.5% 7.0% 7.3% 8.3% 9.0% 8.6% 10.2% 10.5% 10.4% 10.4% 8.1% 3.5% 1.1%
Katherine Bennett 8.9% 11.3% 8.8% 9.6% 11.6% 9.7% 9.3% 9.7% 8.8% 6.7% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4%
Bridget Groble 7.7% 8.2% 9.6% 9.8% 10.0% 10.3% 8.6% 9.6% 9.8% 7.8% 5.8% 2.2% 0.5%
Amanda Majernik 9.6% 9.4% 10.4% 9.1% 10.1% 11.5% 10.1% 9.8% 8.4% 6.0% 4.2% 1.1% 0.3%
Clara Guarascio 2.9% 3.0% 2.7% 3.5% 3.8% 5.2% 6.3% 6.6% 8.7% 11.2% 16.4% 17.7% 12.0%
Ella Withington 7.0% 7.2% 7.8% 9.1% 9.3% 8.6% 10.9% 10.5% 11.1% 9.2% 5.9% 2.6% 0.9%
Riley Kloc 8.9% 8.2% 10.4% 11.2% 9.7% 10.8% 10.3% 8.5% 8.2% 6.2% 4.3% 2.9% 0.4%
Sunrae Sturmer 1.9% 1.8% 2.2% 2.8% 2.9% 4.0% 4.6% 5.2% 7.5% 11.1% 16.1% 21.2% 18.6%
Kristin Hess 1.8% 1.7% 1.9% 2.1% 2.2% 3.5% 3.9% 3.4% 5.1% 7.4% 13.2% 21.2% 32.5%
Hannah Mercurio 1.2% 1.7% 1.4% 1.4% 2.5% 3.1% 2.9% 3.5% 5.2% 9.3% 13.1% 22.2% 32.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.