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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.94vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+1.95vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.03+0.97vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+1.31vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.63+2.64vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University2.21+0.03vs Predicted
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7Hampton University2.11-0.66vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.04+4.03vs Predicted
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9Drexel University1.06+0.20vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University at Galveston1.10-0.88vs Predicted
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11Columbia University0.40-0.02vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-0.54+1.23vs Predicted
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13William and Mary0.84-3.18vs Predicted
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14Columbia University1.47-6.06vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-1.37-0.32vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-0.32-3.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94University of Pennsylvania3.510.3%1st Place
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3.95St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.2%1st Place
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3.97Old Dominion University3.030.2%1st Place
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5.31St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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7.64George Washington University1.630.0%1st Place
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6.03Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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6.34Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
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12.03SUNY Stony Brook-0.040.0%1st Place
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9.2Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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9.12Texas A&M University at Galveston1.100.0%1st Place
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10.98Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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13.23University of Michigan-0.540.0%1st Place
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9.82William and Mary0.840.0%1st Place
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7.94Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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14.68Princeton University-1.370.0%1st Place
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12.84U. S. Military Academy-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Agnese | 28.5% | 22.2% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 17.3% | 17.3% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jill Fattibene | 16.2% | 15.6% | 17.5% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 7.1% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Kyritsis | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 18.7% | 15.7% | 7.5% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Dylan Marohn | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Laura Maranto | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 8.6% | 3.3% |
| Benjamin Jepsen | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 25.0% | 19.3% |
| Samuel Keesee | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Henry Pease | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 17.1% | 56.3% |
| Albert Biddle | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 18.7% | 22.5% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.