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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.93vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+3.20vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.03+0.97vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University2.21+2.14vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-1.01vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.63+1.67vs Predicted
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7Hampton University2.11-0.70vs Predicted
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8Columbia University0.40+2.90vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.47-1.02vs Predicted
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10Drexel University1.06-0.72vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Galveston1.10-1.95vs Predicted
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12William and Mary0.84-2.14vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy-0.32-0.21vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan-0.54-0.83vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook0.05-2.96vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-1.37-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93University of Pennsylvania3.510.3%1st Place
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5.2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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3.97Old Dominion University3.030.2%1st Place
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6.14Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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3.99St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.2%1st Place
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7.67George Washington University1.630.0%1st Place
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6.3Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
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10.9Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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7.98Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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9.28Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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9.05Texas A&M University at Galveston1.100.0%1st Place
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9.86William and Mary0.840.0%1st Place
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12.79U. S. Military Academy-0.320.0%1st Place
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13.17University of Michigan-0.540.0%1st Place
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12.04SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
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14.71Princeton University-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Agnese | 28.9% | 21.5% | 17.8% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jill Fattibene | 16.1% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 5.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 15.4% | 17.7% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 9.0% | 2.1% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Dylan Marohn | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Keesee | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Albert Biddle | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 18.4% | 21.3% | 13.3% |
| Benjamin Jepsen | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 16.8% | 25.1% | 17.7% |
| Cody Murphy | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 18.8% | 14.5% | 8.0% |
| Henry Pease | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 18.6% | 56.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.