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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+2.33vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.72+3.26vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.16+2.20vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.02+2.74vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.24+1.23vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.30+0.45vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.44-0.88vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.37-2.28vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-3.33vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College0.13-0.81vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.17-1.05vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-1.43vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia-0.58-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33Cornell University2.3825.8%1st Place
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5.26University of Pennsylvania1.7210.5%1st Place
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5.2U. S. Naval Academy2.1610.7%1st Place
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6.74Fordham University1.027.1%1st Place
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6.23George Washington University1.247.4%1st Place
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6.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.306.2%1st Place
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6.12Old Dominion University1.448.2%1st Place
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5.72Georgetown University1.379.0%1st Place
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5.67St. Mary's College of Maryland1.359.0%1st Place
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9.19SUNY Maritime College0.131.8%1st Place
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9.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.171.7%1st Place
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10.57SUNY Stony Brook-0.401.1%1st Place
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10.59University of Virginia-0.581.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 25.8% | 19.1% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 10.5% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Victroia Flatley | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Ella Withington | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Bridget Groble | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Riley Kloc | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Bennett | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 18.0% | 11.2% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 21.2% | 20.5% |
| Kristin Hess | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 22.6% | 29.4% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 14.0% | 19.5% | 33.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.