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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.92vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+1.97vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.11+3.25vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+1.35vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University2.21+0.97vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.03-1.97vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.63+0.63vs Predicted
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8Drexel University1.06+1.11vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-0.54+4.17vs Predicted
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10William and Mary0.84-0.12vs Predicted
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11Columbia University1.47-3.02vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University at Galveston1.10-2.88vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy-0.32-0.18vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook0.05-2.08vs Predicted
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15Columbia University0.40-3.85vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-1.37-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92University of Pennsylvania3.510.3%1st Place
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3.97St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.2%1st Place
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6.25Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
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5.35St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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5.97Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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4.03Old Dominion University3.030.2%1st Place
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7.63George Washington University1.630.0%1st Place
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9.11Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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13.17University of Michigan-0.540.0%1st Place
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9.88William and Mary0.840.0%1st Place
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7.98Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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9.12Texas A&M University at Galveston1.100.0%1st Place
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12.82U. S. Military Academy-0.320.0%1st Place
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11.92SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
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11.15Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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14.73Princeton University-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Agnese | 29.0% | 20.2% | 19.2% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 18.2% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jill Fattibene | 15.2% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Jepsen | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 18.3% | 24.8% | 18.9% |
| Samuel Keesee | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Marohn | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Albert Biddle | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 18.2% | 21.6% | 13.9% |
| Cody Murphy | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 12.5% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 5.8% |
| Laura Maranto | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 8.5% | 3.7% |
| Henry Pease | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 9.8% | 18.8% | 55.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.