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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Maximiliano Agnese 28.8% 21.5% 17.3% 13.6% 7.7% 5.2% 3.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jill Fattibene 17.2% 16.7% 14.6% 14.5% 11.8% 8.0% 8.0% 4.4% 2.5% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Catherine Shanahan 16.2% 14.6% 18.4% 12.4% 13.2% 10.1% 7.4% 2.7% 2.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marissa Golison 8.1% 11.1% 11.6% 11.3% 12.4% 11.9% 10.6% 8.6% 6.6% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Austin Powers 7.1% 7.8% 8.4% 10.3% 12.1% 11.0% 9.8% 10.5% 9.4% 6.0% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Jakub Tyczynski 1.7% 2.7% 1.9% 3.9% 4.9% 6.0% 8.5% 9.1% 8.6% 10.7% 11.5% 11.3% 9.6% 6.4% 2.2% 1.0%
Giuditta Di Laghi 6.5% 7.9% 7.2% 9.6% 9.7% 10.4% 9.5% 13.0% 8.6% 7.7% 5.4% 2.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Dylan Marohn 2.4% 3.1% 3.1% 3.5% 4.6% 7.1% 7.4% 7.7% 9.9% 10.9% 13.7% 10.2% 8.8% 5.3% 2.3% 0.0%
Benjaim Helfand 3.7% 4.7% 5.7% 6.4% 6.6% 9.6% 9.9% 12.1% 12.6% 7.7% 9.1% 5.7% 3.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Samuel Keesee 1.8% 1.7% 3.2% 3.9% 2.6% 4.3% 5.0% 5.0% 8.6% 11.1% 14.1% 15.6% 10.1% 8.7% 3.6% 0.7%
Laura Maranto 1.8% 1.5% 1.7% 1.7% 2.9% 2.5% 4.2% 5.4% 6.7% 6.6% 10.0% 14.3% 13.5% 15.2% 8.9% 3.1%
Albert Biddle 0.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.7% 1.6% 1.5% 2.8% 2.3% 3.1% 5.2% 5.9% 10.0% 11.5% 17.0% 23.6% 13.2%
Cody Murphy 0.8% 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% 1.8% 2.3% 3.3% 3.5% 4.8% 7.7% 7.5% 11.0% 17.2% 16.2% 14.6% 6.6%
Paolo Bertolotti 3.6% 4.1% 4.0% 5.9% 6.9% 8.3% 8.5% 11.6% 12.1% 12.2% 8.9% 6.5% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
Henry Pease 0.0% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 1.6% 1.6% 2.6% 6.1% 8.8% 17.7% 56.8%
Benjamin Jepsen 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 1.3% 1.7% 2.6% 4.8% 4.5% 7.1% 12.0% 18.0% 25.6% 18.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.