Race 6A

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Bridget Green 25.0% 19.6% 16.9% 12.6% 9.0% 7.1% 5.0% 2.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Olivia de Olazarra 10.4% 10.3% 11.5% 10.5% 11.8% 11.5% 9.8% 8.8% 7.0% 5.0% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2%
Katherine Bennett 9.7% 10.1% 8.8% 9.7% 10.2% 10.8% 10.0% 9.4% 8.7% 7.0% 3.9% 1.6% 0.2%
Ella Withington 7.4% 7.4% 7.2% 8.5% 9.3% 10.2% 9.5% 10.6% 9.4% 9.6% 6.7% 3.5% 0.7%
Torrey Chisari 10.2% 11.3% 12.1% 10.3% 11.1% 10.1% 9.7% 8.2% 7.9% 5.1% 2.9% 1.0% 0.1%
Victroia Flatley 6.6% 7.0% 6.4% 8.0% 9.3% 8.6% 10.0% 9.7% 10.9% 10.8% 7.6% 4.0% 0.9%
Bridget Groble 7.6% 8.4% 9.1% 10.3% 9.2% 10.4% 10.0% 9.8% 8.8% 7.9% 5.7% 2.1% 0.6%
Riley Kloc 8.9% 9.0% 9.4% 10.7% 10.0% 9.3% 10.5% 11.2% 7.7% 6.3% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6%
Chiara Perotti Correa 7.3% 9.2% 9.7% 8.9% 9.2% 9.4% 9.8% 9.8% 10.2% 7.6% 5.8% 2.5% 0.7%
Kristin Hess 1.4% 1.8% 1.7% 2.1% 2.0% 2.5% 3.6% 4.5% 6.2% 7.8% 14.0% 20.6% 31.9%
Clara Guarascio 2.5% 2.5% 2.6% 4.2% 4.0% 4.8% 5.3% 6.8% 8.4% 12.5% 16.1% 18.2% 12.2%
Sunrae Sturmer 1.5% 1.9% 2.6% 1.9% 2.8% 3.2% 3.8% 5.0% 8.2% 10.8% 17.7% 19.9% 20.7%
Hannah Mercurio 1.4% 1.5% 1.9% 2.3% 2.1% 2.1% 3.2% 3.6% 5.2% 8.9% 13.1% 23.5% 31.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.