← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.93vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University3.03+1.97vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+0.99vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+1.29vs Predicted
-
5Christopher Newport University2.21+1.01vs Predicted
-
6Drexel University1.06+3.31vs Predicted
-
7Hampton University2.11-0.66vs Predicted
-
8Texas A&M University at Galveston1.10+1.05vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University1.63-1.45vs Predicted
-
10William and Mary0.84-0.07vs Predicted
-
11Columbia University0.40-0.02vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Military Academy-0.32+0.79vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Stony Brook0.05-1.07vs Predicted
-
14Columbia University1.47-6.10vs Predicted
-
15Princeton University-1.37-0.31vs Predicted
-
16University of Michigan-0.54-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.93University of Pennsylvania3.510.3%1st Place
-
3.97Old Dominion University3.030.2%1st Place
-
3.99St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.2%1st Place
-
5.29St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
-
6.01Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
-
9.31Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
-
6.34Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
-
9.05Texas A&M University at Galveston1.100.0%1st Place
-
7.55George Washington University1.630.0%1st Place
-
9.93William and Mary0.840.0%1st Place
-
10.98Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
-
12.79U. S. Military Academy-0.320.0%1st Place
-
11.93SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
-
7.9Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
-
14.69Princeton University-1.370.0%1st Place
-
13.32University of Michigan-0.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Agnese | 28.8% | 21.5% | 17.3% | 13.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jill Fattibene | 17.2% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 16.2% | 14.6% | 18.4% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 8.1% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Marohn | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Keesee | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Laura Maranto | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 8.9% | 3.1% |
| Albert Biddle | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 17.0% | 23.6% | 13.2% |
| Cody Murphy | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 6.6% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Henry Pease | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 17.7% | 56.8% |
| Benjamin Jepsen | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 18.0% | 25.6% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.