Race 10B

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Henry Scholz 11.6% 12.2% 11.7% 10.2% 9.2% 10.3% 10.4% 8.6% 6.5% 5.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.1%
Joshua Dillon 11.6% 11.2% 10.8% 10.2% 9.7% 9.3% 9.8% 8.8% 7.2% 5.9% 4.0% 1.2% 0.1%
Marc Leyk 5.1% 3.9% 4.3% 6.0% 5.5% 6.7% 6.6% 8.2% 11.7% 11.5% 14.5% 13.6% 2.5%
Jakub Fuja 8.8% 8.9% 8.8% 7.2% 8.2% 8.9% 9.4% 9.8% 9.2% 8.6% 7.0% 4.4% 0.5%
Courtland Doyle 13.2% 14.1% 12.0% 11.7% 11.7% 9.6% 8.9% 6.7% 5.4% 3.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Ethan Burt 12.9% 11.3% 12.4% 10.7% 11.2% 10.0% 9.3% 7.8% 6.2% 4.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Cameron Silvers 7.3% 7.1% 7.5% 8.9% 8.3% 7.8% 7.9% 10.3% 10.2% 9.3% 9.4% 5.0% 0.9%
James Frady 2.2% 2.0% 2.5% 3.1% 3.5% 4.3% 5.0% 7.3% 7.4% 8.2% 15.2% 29.3% 9.8%
Tomas Riccio 11.1% 11.8% 11.2% 10.7% 11.0% 9.8% 8.6% 7.8% 7.1% 6.2% 3.3% 1.5% 0.0%
Luke Barker 3.5% 4.0% 4.2% 5.1% 5.9% 6.0% 6.2% 6.5% 8.2% 13.1% 15.7% 17.5% 4.1%
Kamron Kaiser 4.5% 5.2% 5.5% 6.0% 5.9% 7.2% 6.7% 7.6% 10.7% 13.0% 13.9% 11.8% 2.1%
Emil Tullberg 8.0% 7.3% 8.8% 9.5% 9.3% 9.4% 10.6% 9.6% 9.0% 8.5% 6.0% 3.5% 0.4%
Brooklyn Geary 0.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.9% 1.2% 2.0% 3.5% 9.3% 79.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.