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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.43+5.02vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.61+3.33vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.51+2.66vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.29+6.11vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.68+3.64vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California3.12+4.87vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.76+1.30vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Galveston3.21+2.45vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.61+3.81vs Predicted
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10University of Texas1.82+5.31vs Predicted
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11University of Washington2.81+1.19vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan2.35+1.91vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-4.16vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College3.83-6.21vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16-8.28vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.67-7.23vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.79-8.65vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.08-7.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.02Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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5.33College of Charleston4.610.1%1st Place
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5.66Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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10.11Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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8.64Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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10.87University of Southern California3.120.0%1st Place
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8.3Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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10.45Texas A&M University at Galveston3.210.0%1st Place
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12.81University of Wisconsin2.610.0%1st Place
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15.31University of Texas1.820.0%1st Place
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12.19University of Washington2.810.0%1st Place
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13.91University of Michigan2.350.0%1st Place
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8.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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7.79Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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6.72St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.1%1st Place
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8.77Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.35Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.91Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Haeger | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Allison Blecher | 11.9% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Bolger | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Swanson | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Maggie Shea | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Emily Dahl | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% |
| Stephanie Roble | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Jasmine Baloch | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Christine Porter | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 9.2% |
| Caitlynn Taylor | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 16.0% | 42.4% |
| Hannah Darrin | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.4% |
| Christina Baker | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 19.5% | 20.4% |
| Caroline Patten | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Eliza Richartz | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.