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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+4.18vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.04vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.03+0.94vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University2.21+2.12vs Predicted
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5Drexel University1.06+4.27vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.63+1.64vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-2.98vs Predicted
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8Hampton University2.11-1.86vs Predicted
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9William and Mary0.84+0.77vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University at Galveston1.10-0.83vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-0.32+1.70vs Predicted
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12Columbia University0.40-0.94vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-1.37+1.67vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook0.05-2.14vs Predicted
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15Columbia University1.47-6.89vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-0.54-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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3.04University of Pennsylvania3.510.3%1st Place
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3.94Old Dominion University3.030.2%1st Place
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6.12Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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9.27Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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7.64George Washington University1.630.0%1st Place
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4.02St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.2%1st Place
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6.14Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
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9.77William and Mary0.840.0%1st Place
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9.17Texas A&M University at Galveston1.100.0%1st Place
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12.7U. S. Military Academy-0.320.0%1st Place
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11.06Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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14.67Princeton University-1.370.0%1st Place
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11.86SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
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8.11Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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13.31University of Michigan-0.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Golison | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 26.9% | 22.3% | 17.3% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jill Fattibene | 16.6% | 16.8% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 5.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 18.1% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Keesee | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Dylan Marohn | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Albert Biddle | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 18.8% | 22.4% | 13.8% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 3.6% |
| Henry Pease | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 10.4% | 17.0% | 55.1% |
| Cody Murphy | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 14.4% | 6.7% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Jepsen | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 17.5% | 26.0% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.