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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.02+5.72vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.16+3.17vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35+2.52vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.56+1.63vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+1.71vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.24+0.26vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.29-1.40vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College0.13+1.17vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.38-5.75vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.44-4.08vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.17-1.07vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia-0.58-1.37vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.72Fordham University1.026.2%1st Place
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5.17U. S. Naval Academy2.1610.7%1st Place
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5.52St. Mary's College of Maryland1.359.7%1st Place
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5.63University of Pennsylvania1.569.7%1st Place
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6.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.976.0%1st Place
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6.26George Washington University1.247.0%1st Place
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5.6Georgetown University1.299.3%1st Place
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9.17SUNY Maritime College0.132.9%1st Place
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3.25Cornell University2.3825.9%1st Place
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5.92Old Dominion University1.448.3%1st Place
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9.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.171.5%1st Place
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10.63University of Virginia-0.581.4%1st Place
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10.49SUNY Stony Brook-0.401.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
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Victroia Flatley | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
Olivia de Olazarra | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
Katherine Bennett | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Amanda Majernik | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
Heather Kerns | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
Chiara Perotti Correa | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
Morgan Sailer | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
Clara Guarascio | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 11.1% |
Bridget Green | 25.9% | 19.1% | 17.1% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Bridget Groble | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
Sunrae Sturmer | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 21.5% | 19.8% |
Hannah Mercurio | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 20.3% | 32.4% |
Kristin Hess | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 19.9% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.