Race 8A

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Olivia de Olazarra 12.0% 10.5% 11.3% 10.8% 11.2% 10.4% 9.7% 8.6% 7.1% 4.5% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Bridget Green 26.6% 18.5% 16.3% 13.7% 9.4% 6.0% 4.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Bridget Groble 7.6% 9.9% 8.1% 9.8% 9.8% 9.8% 10.2% 10.3% 8.3% 8.1% 4.9% 2.6% 0.7%
Katherine Bennett 8.6% 9.2% 10.2% 10.7% 10.8% 10.7% 9.7% 8.8% 8.6% 7.4% 3.8% 1.6% 0.2%
Morgan Sailer 9.8% 10.7% 10.3% 10.8% 10.2% 11.2% 9.6% 9.3% 7.8% 5.5% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Chiara Perotti Correa 7.8% 8.0% 9.7% 8.6% 9.5% 9.9% 10.1% 9.9% 10.4% 7.6% 5.1% 2.4% 1.1%
Clara Guarascio 2.6% 3.1% 2.8% 4.3% 3.5% 5.3% 6.0% 7.3% 8.7% 11.4% 15.2% 16.9% 12.8%
Amanda Majernik 8.2% 9.7% 10.4% 9.4% 10.4% 10.3% 10.0% 9.4% 8.5% 6.9% 4.0% 2.2% 0.5%
Heather Kerns 7.2% 7.5% 6.8% 6.8% 8.9% 8.9% 9.8% 10.0% 9.7% 10.5% 8.2% 4.7% 1.1%
Kristin Hess 1.1% 1.0% 1.6% 2.6% 2.7% 2.5% 3.9% 4.0% 6.0% 9.4% 13.8% 21.6% 29.7%
Hannah Mercurio 0.8% 1.7% 1.8% 2.1% 2.1% 2.8% 2.9% 4.0% 5.9% 7.4% 12.8% 21.6% 33.9%
Sunrae Sturmer 1.1% 2.5% 2.5% 2.1% 3.5% 3.5% 4.5% 5.9% 7.2% 11.0% 17.4% 20.6% 18.2%
Victroia Flatley 6.7% 7.8% 8.1% 8.5% 8.1% 8.8% 8.9% 9.9% 10.5% 9.7% 8.1% 3.8% 1.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.