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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.95vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University2.21+3.96vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.03+0.99vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+0.05vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+0.21vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.63+1.67vs Predicted
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7Hampton University2.11-0.69vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.84+1.74vs Predicted
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9Drexel University1.06+0.15vs Predicted
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10Columbia University0.40+1.10vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-0.32+1.65vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.04+0.13vs Predicted
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13Columbia University1.47-5.03vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan-0.54-0.83vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University at Galveston1.10-5.80vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-1.37-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95University of Pennsylvania3.510.3%1st Place
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5.96Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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3.99Old Dominion University3.030.2%1st Place
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4.05St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.2%1st Place
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5.21St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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7.67George Washington University1.630.0%1st Place
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6.31Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
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9.74William and Mary0.840.0%1st Place
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9.15Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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11.1Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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12.65U. S. Military Academy-0.320.0%1st Place
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12.13SUNY Stony Brook-0.040.0%1st Place
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7.97Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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13.17University of Michigan-0.540.0%1st Place
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9.2Texas A&M University at Galveston1.100.0%1st Place
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14.75Princeton University-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Agnese | 29.0% | 21.6% | 17.6% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jill Fattibene | 16.2% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 15.6% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Keesee | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Laura Maranto | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 2.6% |
| Albert Biddle | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 14.2% | 18.2% | 20.7% | 13.8% |
| Zachary Kyritsis | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 19.1% | 15.1% | 9.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Jepsen | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 18.0% | 25.3% | 17.3% |
| Dylan Marohn | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Henry Pease | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 19.3% | 55.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.