Race 9A

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Bridget Groble 8.1% 8.6% 8.3% 10.8% 9.4% 9.6% 10.1% 10.0% 9.0% 7.2% 5.5% 2.6% 0.5%
Amanda Majernik 10.4% 9.4% 9.1% 10.3% 11.1% 9.6% 10.1% 8.8% 8.3% 6.6% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
Katherine Bennett 9.1% 9.9% 10.8% 9.6% 10.2% 9.0% 9.4% 10.8% 8.8% 6.9% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4%
Olivia de Olazarra 10.1% 10.9% 11.9% 9.2% 11.5% 11.2% 10.5% 8.8% 7.2% 4.9% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Chiara Perotti Correa 8.1% 7.8% 8.5% 8.2% 10.3% 10.1% 11.1% 9.3% 10.1% 8.6% 4.6% 3.0% 0.4%
Morgan Sailer 10.9% 10.7% 10.2% 11.1% 10.2% 11.3% 10.1% 8.6% 8.0% 5.0% 2.6% 1.2% 0.2%
Bridget Green 22.9% 20.8% 18.5% 13.0% 9.9% 5.7% 4.2% 2.9% 1.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Heather Kerns 7.0% 6.2% 6.8% 8.2% 7.4% 9.7% 9.2% 10.2% 9.6% 11.3% 8.5% 4.5% 1.1%
Clara Guarascio 2.4% 2.5% 3.4% 3.6% 3.2% 4.7% 5.5% 6.6% 9.4% 12.4% 16.0% 18.4% 12.0%
Victroia Flatley 7.0% 7.8% 7.3% 8.9% 8.5% 10.1% 8.1% 8.9% 10.3% 10.5% 7.2% 4.2% 1.1%
Sunrae Sturmer 1.6% 2.1% 2.4% 2.4% 3.5% 4.0% 5.2% 6.3% 7.6% 9.6% 16.4% 21.0% 18.1%
Hannah Mercurio 1.1% 1.8% 1.5% 2.2% 2.9% 2.5% 2.8% 4.2% 5.5% 8.5% 14.0% 19.4% 33.9%
Kristin Hess 1.4% 1.6% 1.5% 2.3% 2.0% 2.5% 3.7% 4.6% 5.1% 7.8% 14.5% 21.4% 31.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.