Race 10A

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Olivia de Olazarra 10.3% 10.8% 10.3% 11.2% 11.8% 11.6% 8.6% 8.4% 7.3% 5.3% 2.8% 1.2% 0.2%
Amanda Majernik 10.2% 9.9% 10.0% 9.8% 9.7% 9.3% 10.3% 10.0% 9.2% 5.8% 3.5% 1.9% 0.3%
Morgan Sailer 9.3% 10.6% 11.2% 11.4% 11.3% 10.8% 9.8% 7.8% 7.6% 5.3% 3.4% 1.2% 0.2%
Bridget Green 28.2% 22.1% 16.5% 11.7% 8.2% 5.6% 3.6% 2.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine Bennett 9.2% 8.9% 11.2% 10.5% 11.4% 10.5% 9.8% 10.0% 7.9% 5.9% 3.5% 1.1% 0.1%
Chiara Perotti Correa 7.0% 8.5% 7.8% 8.3% 10.2% 9.6% 10.7% 10.2% 10.2% 8.3% 6.0% 2.3% 0.9%
Bridget Groble 7.4% 8.6% 10.2% 9.2% 8.7% 10.6% 10.8% 9.8% 9.2% 8.2% 4.2% 2.9% 0.4%
Victroia Flatley 5.8% 6.7% 7.4% 8.3% 8.9% 9.4% 10.2% 10.4% 11.0% 9.8% 6.8% 4.0% 1.2%
Clara Guarascio 2.5% 2.6% 3.4% 3.7% 3.5% 4.0% 6.0% 7.3% 9.0% 12.9% 16.5% 17.8% 10.8%
Heather Kerns 6.3% 5.9% 6.6% 8.8% 8.4% 8.8% 9.7% 9.6% 10.4% 11.2% 7.8% 4.7% 1.8%
Sunrae Sturmer 1.4% 3.0% 2.5% 3.2% 3.1% 4.0% 4.2% 5.9% 5.9% 9.8% 16.0% 20.1% 20.8%
Kristin Hess 1.6% 1.2% 1.7% 2.1% 2.8% 3.0% 3.0% 4.3% 5.1% 9.3% 14.5% 21.6% 29.8%
Hannah Mercurio 0.8% 1.1% 1.3% 1.8% 1.9% 2.6% 3.2% 4.3% 5.8% 7.6% 14.8% 21.1% 33.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.