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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+2.91vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.01vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.03+0.94vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+1.30vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston1.10+4.16vs Predicted
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6Hampton University2.11+0.28vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.63+0.65vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University2.21-2.09vs Predicted
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9Drexel University1.06+0.12vs Predicted
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10Columbia University0.40+1.11vs Predicted
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11William and Mary0.84-1.20vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.04+0.10vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan-0.54+0.21vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-0.32-1.29vs Predicted
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15Columbia University1.47-6.94vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-1.37-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.2%1st Place
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3.01University of Pennsylvania3.510.3%1st Place
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3.94Old Dominion University3.030.2%1st Place
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5.3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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9.16Texas A&M University at Galveston1.100.0%1st Place
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6.28Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
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7.65George Washington University1.630.0%1st Place
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5.91Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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9.12Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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11.11Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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9.8William and Mary0.840.0%1st Place
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12.1SUNY Stony Brook-0.040.0%1st Place
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13.21University of Michigan-0.540.0%1st Place
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12.71U. S. Military Academy-0.320.0%1st Place
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8.06Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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14.72Princeton University-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catherine Shanahan | 17.9% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 27.1% | 21.6% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jill Fattibene | 16.1% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 8.2% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Marohn | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Laura Maranto | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 9.1% | 3.3% |
| Samuel Keesee | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 0.7% |
| Zachary Kyritsis | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 15.8% | 17.7% | 14.5% | 9.0% |
| Benjamin Jepsen | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 24.7% | 18.7% |
| Albert Biddle | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 19.3% | 20.9% | 12.4% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Henry Pease | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 9.0% | 20.0% | 54.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.