Race 1B

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sofia Segalla 14.2% 12.7% 12.3% 14.6% 12.5% 11.2% 8.5% 6.7% 4.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Emma AuBuchon 9.0% 10.3% 9.8% 11.3% 10.0% 11.7% 11.8% 8.9% 8.2% 5.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Piper Holthus 19.6% 16.3% 15.8% 14.3% 12.3% 9.6% 5.2% 3.4% 2.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Eva Blauvelt 17.0% 17.3% 16.2% 11.5% 11.7% 8.5% 7.5% 5.4% 2.9% 1.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Lily Flack 4.2% 5.3% 5.6% 6.4% 6.7% 7.5% 9.6% 11.7% 13.7% 14.2% 8.9% 4.3% 1.7%
Lilly Myers 11.8% 11.2% 12.8% 11.8% 10.9% 11.9% 9.8% 8.2% 6.1% 3.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Camille McGriff 6.5% 8.3% 8.1% 7.8% 9.4% 11.2% 10.8% 12.6% 10.9% 8.7% 4.1% 1.4% 0.2%
Elizabeth Cutler 6.7% 7.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.2% 9.3% 11.6% 12.6% 12.4% 8.6% 5.2% 2.1% 0.3%
Elizabeth Gildea 5.8% 5.9% 6.7% 7.2% 8.9% 8.8% 12.7% 13.1% 11.6% 9.6% 6.6% 2.6% 0.7%
Elizabeth Harrington 0.9% 1.3% 1.4% 1.2% 1.8% 1.9% 2.4% 3.5% 6.0% 9.4% 16.4% 23.4% 30.4%
Morgan Essex 1.8% 1.8% 2.0% 3.0% 2.9% 3.5% 4.4% 5.7% 9.0% 15.1% 18.9% 17.9% 14.0%
Laura Smith 1.4% 1.2% 1.5% 1.1% 1.5% 2.5% 2.1% 3.9% 6.2% 9.2% 17.1% 22.6% 29.8%
Jessica Schaefer 1.1% 1.3% 1.0% 1.8% 2.2% 2.5% 3.7% 4.5% 6.7% 10.5% 17.7% 24.1% 22.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.