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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+2.88vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.05vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+2.22vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University2.21+2.11vs Predicted
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5Hampton University2.11+1.26vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.03-1.99vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.54+6.20vs Predicted
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8Columbia University0.40+2.96vs Predicted
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9William and Mary0.84+0.77vs Predicted
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10Drexel University1.06-0.76vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.63-3.46vs Predicted
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12Columbia University1.47-3.93vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.04-0.86vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University at Galveston1.10-4.98vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-1.37-0.31vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-0.32-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.2%1st Place
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3.05University of Pennsylvania3.510.3%1st Place
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5.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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6.11Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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6.26Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
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4.01Old Dominion University3.030.2%1st Place
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13.2University of Michigan-0.540.0%1st Place
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10.96Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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9.77William and Mary0.840.0%1st Place
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9.24Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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7.54George Washington University1.630.0%1st Place
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8.07Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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12.14SUNY Stony Brook-0.040.0%1st Place
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9.02Texas A&M University at Galveston1.100.0%1st Place
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14.69Princeton University-1.370.0%1st Place
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12.83U. S. Military Academy-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catherine Shanahan | 18.6% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 27.9% | 20.5% | 17.0% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jill Fattibene | 15.6% | 17.5% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Jepsen | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 15.7% | 26.4% | 19.6% |
| Laura Maranto | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 17.8% | 13.9% | 8.5% | 2.1% |
| Samuel Keesee | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Kyritsis | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 17.2% | 7.1% |
| Dylan Marohn | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Henry Pease | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 9.8% | 17.7% | 56.3% |
| Albert Biddle | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 20.6% | 20.6% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.