Race 2B

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lilly Myers 11.9% 11.2% 12.5% 11.1% 11.8% 11.6% 10.8% 8.5% 5.8% 3.1% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Piper Holthus 20.9% 17.5% 15.3% 14.4% 11.6% 8.5% 5.1% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Sofia Segalla 14.0% 13.6% 12.8% 13.3% 11.8% 11.2% 9.2% 6.8% 3.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Elizabeth Gildea 5.9% 6.3% 5.9% 8.1% 8.8% 9.0% 11.1% 12.3% 13.1% 10.2% 6.2% 2.6% 0.5%
Eva Blauvelt 16.8% 16.4% 16.1% 12.9% 10.5% 9.5% 6.9% 5.8% 3.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Camille McGriff 7.5% 7.4% 8.8% 8.2% 9.4% 10.7% 11.7% 10.8% 11.6% 6.8% 4.9% 1.9% 0.3%
Emma AuBuchon 9.2% 10.4% 9.4% 10.7% 11.3% 10.0% 10.5% 11.2% 8.0% 5.6% 2.4% 1.0% 0.2%
Lily Flack 3.5% 5.5% 5.5% 5.1% 6.6% 8.6% 9.8% 11.3% 13.2% 14.4% 10.2% 4.9% 1.5%
Elizabeth Cutler 6.7% 6.3% 7.1% 8.6% 10.0% 9.5% 10.9% 12.6% 12.7% 8.5% 4.8% 1.9% 0.4%
Laura Smith 0.7% 1.5% 1.7% 1.5% 1.8% 2.5% 3.1% 3.3% 5.7% 8.8% 15.7% 22.4% 31.5%
Morgan Essex 1.2% 1.8% 1.8% 3.4% 2.8% 3.4% 5.2% 5.8% 7.7% 15.2% 19.1% 19.6% 13.0%
Jessica Schaefer 0.8% 1.2% 1.7% 1.4% 2.3% 2.8% 2.7% 4.0% 6.7% 13.0% 17.6% 23.4% 22.6%
Elizabeth Harrington 0.8% 0.9% 1.2% 1.5% 1.2% 2.9% 3.1% 4.0% 6.8% 10.1% 15.9% 21.6% 30.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.