Race 5B

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Piper Holthus 23.8% 20.2% 16.0% 13.4% 9.8% 8.0% 4.0% 2.7% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Camille McGriff 7.5% 7.5% 10.2% 10.0% 10.1% 10.5% 10.5% 11.6% 9.3% 7.0% 3.4% 1.9% 0.5%
Lilly Myers 13.6% 13.9% 13.5% 12.5% 12.5% 10.9% 8.2% 7.0% 4.2% 2.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Sofia Segalla 15.2% 16.7% 13.4% 13.5% 12.4% 9.4% 8.5% 4.9% 4.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Emma AuBuchon 10.1% 10.5% 11.2% 10.5% 11.0% 11.1% 10.6% 10.1% 7.8% 4.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Elizabeth Gildea 7.6% 7.0% 8.0% 8.8% 9.5% 9.4% 11.2% 11.2% 11.7% 7.8% 4.9% 2.6% 0.4%
Elizabeth Cutler 7.6% 7.8% 8.9% 10.2% 9.0% 10.4% 10.8% 11.1% 10.3% 8.1% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
Morgan Essex 1.6% 2.1% 2.9% 2.9% 4.5% 4.6% 5.6% 6.7% 9.0% 14.2% 17.2% 16.5% 12.0%
Lily Flack 5.1% 5.3% 5.2% 7.0% 7.6% 8.4% 9.3% 11.1% 11.9% 12.2% 9.7% 5.6% 1.4%
Laura Smith 1.4% 1.1% 1.5% 1.2% 2.3% 2.8% 3.7% 4.3% 6.0% 8.7% 15.6% 22.9% 28.6%
Elizabeth Harrington 1.6% 1.6% 1.7% 1.3% 2.0% 2.4% 4.2% 3.9% 5.2% 9.3% 13.9% 21.6% 31.3%
Jessica Schaefer 1.3% 1.7% 1.9% 2.3% 2.6% 3.4% 3.9% 5.2% 7.8% 10.5% 16.4% 19.7% 23.3%
Carlyn Blauvelt 3.8% 4.8% 5.7% 6.4% 6.5% 8.7% 9.6% 10.3% 11.2% 13.8% 11.1% 6.3% 1.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.