Race 6B

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lilly Myers 14.2% 13.2% 12.2% 14.4% 12.9% 9.4% 8.5% 7.8% 4.0% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Camille McGriff 7.8% 7.8% 9.4% 9.3% 9.9% 9.8% 11.7% 10.2% 10.7% 7.3% 3.9% 1.8% 0.6%
Sofia Segalla 17.1% 14.1% 14.1% 13.6% 12.6% 10.0% 7.1% 5.1% 3.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Emma AuBuchon 11.6% 12.6% 11.2% 11.8% 9.7% 11.5% 10.1% 9.0% 6.6% 4.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Elizabeth Gildea 6.6% 7.6% 8.3% 7.5% 9.2% 11.1% 11.3% 11.0% 10.7% 8.8% 5.1% 2.4% 0.5%
Morgan Essex 1.9% 2.2% 2.7% 2.5% 3.5% 4.0% 5.5% 6.9% 9.4% 13.0% 17.4% 17.3% 13.6%
Piper Holthus 20.6% 20.0% 17.9% 12.8% 10.9% 6.9% 5.1% 3.1% 1.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Cutler 7.8% 8.9% 8.2% 9.5% 10.3% 11.5% 11.0% 10.5% 8.6% 7.8% 4.0% 1.7% 0.2%
Lily Flack 4.2% 5.2% 5.8% 6.6% 6.9% 10.0% 10.9% 12.2% 11.8% 12.3% 8.0% 4.8% 1.4%
Elizabeth Harrington 1.5% 1.1% 1.5% 1.7% 2.1% 2.4% 2.5% 3.9% 6.3% 8.0% 15.5% 21.7% 31.8%
Carlyn Blauvelt 4.0% 4.4% 5.2% 6.2% 7.4% 8.1% 9.6% 10.6% 12.4% 13.7% 10.2% 6.0% 2.3%
Laura Smith 1.2% 1.6% 1.2% 2.1% 2.1% 2.7% 3.1% 4.6% 6.9% 9.8% 15.7% 21.6% 27.6%
Jessica Schaefer 1.5% 1.3% 2.1% 2.1% 2.5% 2.9% 3.6% 5.1% 7.0% 10.8% 16.9% 22.0% 22.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.