Race 11B

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Joshua Dillon 10.7% 10.7% 10.1% 10.3% 10.8% 10.8% 9.8% 7.4% 7.6% 6.3% 3.5% 1.8% 0.1%
Ethan Burt 12.2% 13.6% 11.3% 11.2% 8.8% 9.2% 9.1% 8.8% 6.0% 5.0% 3.2% 1.3% 0.1%
Courtland Doyle 14.3% 13.9% 11.8% 11.5% 11.2% 8.8% 7.6% 8.4% 6.2% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Carter Weatherilt 5.9% 7.0% 6.2% 7.0% 9.2% 7.6% 9.6% 8.9% 10.5% 9.9% 10.2% 6.9% 1.1%
Jakub Fuja 7.7% 8.6% 8.0% 9.1% 7.0% 8.9% 9.6% 9.7% 9.4% 10.2% 6.3% 4.9% 0.6%
Marc Leyk 4.0% 3.6% 5.3% 6.1% 4.6% 6.1% 6.6% 8.3% 9.4% 12.3% 16.1% 14.2% 3.1%
Tomas Riccio 11.5% 10.8% 11.4% 9.8% 10.3% 11.1% 9.0% 8.6% 6.9% 5.4% 3.6% 1.6% 0.1%
Cameron Silvers 7.0% 6.6% 7.5% 7.8% 9.3% 8.2% 9.0% 8.5% 9.8% 10.3% 9.2% 5.5% 1.2%
Henry Scholz 11.8% 12.5% 11.7% 10.0% 10.9% 10.3% 8.0% 7.8% 7.2% 4.5% 3.6% 1.4% 0.2%
Emil Tullberg 7.9% 7.0% 8.6% 8.8% 9.6% 8.6% 10.0% 9.6% 9.5% 8.6% 7.6% 3.8% 0.7%
Luke Barker 4.2% 3.2% 4.5% 4.5% 4.3% 5.4% 6.5% 7.0% 8.8% 12.7% 14.3% 19.4% 5.3%
James Frady 2.1% 2.1% 2.8% 3.5% 3.4% 4.5% 4.2% 5.7% 7.0% 8.9% 16.1% 29.9% 10.0%
Brooklyn Geary 0.6% 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 1.1% 1.2% 1.6% 1.8% 4.5% 8.9% 77.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.