Race 7B

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sofia Segalla 14.8% 13.5% 13.2% 14.0% 12.8% 11.7% 8.0% 6.0% 3.9% 1.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Camille McGriff 6.7% 8.2% 8.6% 9.2% 9.8% 10.4% 11.4% 12.8% 9.6% 7.3% 4.1% 1.6% 0.3%
Lilly Myers 11.8% 12.3% 12.8% 13.6% 9.8% 12.0% 10.5% 8.1% 4.3% 3.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Lily Flack 3.6% 4.2% 5.5% 7.0% 7.2% 8.8% 11.8% 12.0% 13.1% 12.0% 9.5% 4.2% 1.1%
Elizabeth Gildea 7.2% 7.1% 7.8% 7.8% 8.9% 10.2% 10.2% 12.7% 11.8% 8.9% 4.3% 2.3% 0.5%
Caroline Sandoval 3.2% 4.5% 4.1% 4.5% 5.6% 6.6% 8.6% 10.2% 14.3% 15.4% 12.0% 7.8% 2.9%
Eva Blauvelt 17.5% 16.4% 15.3% 13.8% 12.1% 9.9% 7.3% 4.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Piper Holthus 22.5% 18.9% 14.9% 12.0% 12.3% 8.6% 4.7% 3.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan Essex 1.6% 1.7% 2.0% 2.1% 3.3% 3.8% 5.5% 7.2% 10.2% 14.2% 17.5% 17.2% 13.7%
Emma AuBuchon 7.9% 9.8% 12.4% 11.1% 12.3% 10.5% 11.3% 9.2% 8.7% 4.2% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Elizabeth Harrington 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 1.6% 1.5% 1.9% 2.9% 4.4% 7.0% 10.7% 14.3% 23.4% 28.8%
Laura Smith 1.3% 0.8% 0.9% 1.7% 2.3% 2.5% 3.5% 4.6% 5.5% 9.5% 15.9% 21.9% 29.8%
Jessica Schaefer 1.1% 1.3% 1.4% 1.6% 1.9% 3.1% 4.2% 4.8% 7.7% 11.1% 18.1% 20.9% 22.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.