Race 8B

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Camille McGriff 7.0% 6.3% 7.8% 9.2% 10.8% 11.9% 11.8% 12.1% 9.8% 7.6% 3.7% 1.8% 0.2%
Eva Blauvelt 17.3% 16.7% 16.0% 14.6% 11.5% 9.3% 6.8% 4.3% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Piper Holthus 20.4% 19.1% 16.3% 13.2% 10.9% 8.8% 5.0% 3.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Elizabeth Gildea 5.8% 6.5% 7.0% 8.2% 8.5% 9.5% 12.8% 12.1% 14.0% 8.8% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5%
Sofia Segalla 15.8% 13.5% 13.3% 13.1% 13.1% 8.9% 8.9% 6.8% 4.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Lilly Myers 12.4% 12.7% 13.7% 12.4% 12.2% 11.9% 9.2% 7.4% 4.2% 2.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Emma AuBuchon 9.7% 10.1% 10.2% 10.9% 11.5% 12.8% 10.9% 9.9% 7.0% 4.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Morgan Essex 1.9% 1.8% 2.1% 2.5% 2.8% 4.0% 5.8% 6.4% 10.2% 14.2% 17.5% 17.2% 13.5%
Lily Flack 4.3% 4.8% 5.3% 6.6% 7.8% 8.5% 10.8% 12.3% 13.2% 11.8% 8.8% 4.6% 1.2%
Caroline Sandoval 2.8% 4.5% 4.7% 4.2% 5.2% 6.4% 8.4% 11.7% 13.0% 14.4% 12.7% 9.2% 2.9%
Laura Smith 0.9% 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 1.7% 2.8% 3.3% 4.1% 7.1% 10.0% 15.6% 21.2% 29.1%
Jessica Schaefer 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 2.1% 2.5% 2.9% 3.0% 4.9% 7.5% 12.6% 16.3% 19.1% 25.2%
Elizabeth Harrington 0.6% 1.4% 1.0% 1.5% 1.7% 2.5% 3.4% 4.7% 6.0% 9.8% 16.4% 24.1% 27.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.