Race 9B

maisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sofia Segalla 15.0% 15.8% 13.7% 13.9% 11.9% 9.8% 8.8% 5.5% 3.2% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Piper Holthus 21.6% 18.5% 16.8% 12.4% 11.3% 8.1% 5.9% 3.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Lilly Myers 12.7% 11.9% 12.8% 13.1% 11.8% 10.8% 10.1% 8.6% 4.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Camille McGriff 6.6% 7.6% 7.3% 8.8% 10.1% 12.0% 11.4% 12.3% 10.6% 8.0% 3.9% 1.4% 0.1%
Emma AuBuchon 7.7% 10.0% 12.0% 11.1% 11.6% 11.9% 11.3% 9.6% 6.8% 5.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Eva Blauvelt 18.6% 15.4% 14.2% 13.5% 12.0% 9.4% 7.8% 4.7% 2.8% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline Sandoval 2.9% 3.8% 4.5% 4.9% 5.5% 7.0% 8.8% 10.4% 14.3% 15.3% 11.8% 7.8% 2.9%
Elizabeth Gildea 6.2% 6.9% 7.0% 8.6% 8.8% 9.8% 12.1% 12.3% 11.8% 8.5% 5.3% 2.4% 0.3%
Lily Flack 3.4% 5.1% 5.1% 6.5% 7.5% 9.3% 10.8% 11.6% 13.6% 12.4% 9.2% 4.2% 1.4%
Morgan Essex 1.8% 2.1% 2.5% 2.9% 3.4% 3.8% 4.7% 7.2% 8.9% 13.0% 19.0% 18.9% 11.8%
Laura Smith 0.9% 0.9% 1.6% 1.1% 2.2% 2.5% 2.3% 5.4% 7.0% 10.2% 15.1% 22.1% 28.5%
Elizabeth Harrington 1.1% 0.9% 1.1% 1.6% 1.7% 3.0% 2.8% 4.0% 6.9% 9.8% 15.8% 21.0% 30.3%
Jessica Schaefer 1.7% 1.1% 1.4% 1.7% 2.1% 2.6% 3.4% 5.6% 7.8% 11.2% 15.9% 21.2% 24.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.