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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.20+0.83vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.31+0.75vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.70+0.59vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.90-1.71vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-0.51-0.82vs Predicted
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7University of Florida-0.36-2.03vs Predicted
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8University of Miami-1.92-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.83Eckerd College2.200.5%1st Place
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2.75University of South Florida1.310.2%1st Place
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3.59Rollins College0.700.1%1st Place
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3.29Jacksonville University0.900.1%1st Place
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5.18Embry-Riddle University-0.510.0%1st Place
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4.97University of Florida-0.360.0%1st Place
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6.4University of Miami-1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Brydges | 50.5% | 26.8% | 14.7% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sara Simon | 19.4% | 28.3% | 24.9% | 16.1% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Maria Ayala | 9.3% | 15.8% | 20.9% | 26.2% | 18.1% | 7.9% | 1.8% |
| Mara Strobel-Lanka | 14.2% | 17.1% | 23.5% | 22.5% | 16.3% | 5.8% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Clarke | 2.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 11.9% | 22.6% | 34.9% | 16.5% |
| Thomas Monson | 3.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 14.3% | 24.8% | 33.7% | 11.0% |
| Ben Kleimen | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 8.0% | 14.9% | 69.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.