Race 10B

maisa-fall-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sofia Segalla 15.4% 17.6% 15.6% 14.3% 10.4% 10.0% 7.2% 5.1% 2.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Lilly Myers 14.4% 14.1% 14.4% 12.4% 13.0% 9.2% 9.7% 5.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Elizabeth Gildea 6.8% 8.3% 8.6% 8.3% 11.8% 10.4% 10.8% 11.2% 9.5% 7.1% 4.3% 2.4% 0.5%
Lily Flack 5.0% 5.1% 6.3% 7.4% 8.6% 8.8% 10.3% 12.3% 12.7% 10.1% 7.5% 4.9% 0.9%
Carlyn Blauvelt 4.5% 4.5% 5.0% 7.3% 7.4% 8.8% 9.4% 11.4% 12.5% 11.0% 10.2% 5.6% 2.4%
Camille McGriff 8.1% 8.6% 9.7% 10.0% 11.3% 12.3% 11.4% 10.7% 8.1% 6.0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.2%
Emma AuBuchon 12.8% 11.8% 11.8% 11.6% 12.0% 9.9% 9.9% 7.4% 6.8% 3.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1%
Piper Holthus 24.1% 19.6% 16.2% 13.8% 9.8% 8.0% 4.2% 2.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Morgan Essex 1.8% 1.6% 3.1% 3.2% 3.5% 4.8% 5.5% 7.8% 8.5% 14.5% 17.1% 15.8% 12.8%
Caroline Sandoval 3.1% 4.7% 4.4% 6.2% 5.5% 8.9% 8.9% 11.3% 12.9% 12.7% 11.3% 7.0% 3.1%
Elizabeth Harrington 1.2% 1.0% 1.6% 1.6% 2.3% 2.8% 4.0% 4.5% 6.3% 10.0% 14.0% 20.4% 30.3%
Jessica Schaefer 1.9% 1.6% 1.6% 1.9% 2.2% 3.2% 4.9% 5.5% 8.3% 10.8% 15.9% 21.4% 20.8%
Laura Smith 0.8% 1.5% 1.8% 1.7% 2.2% 2.9% 3.8% 5.1% 6.2% 10.9% 13.9% 20.4% 28.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.