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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.89+1.19vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.68+1.90vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.54+1.20vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.76-0.15vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.38-0.53vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.89-2.34vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19College of Charleston3.890.4%1st Place
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3.9University of South Florida2.680.1%1st Place
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4.2Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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3.85Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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4.47Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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3.66Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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5.73Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Rees | 41.9% | 24.5% | 16.5% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| AJ Degen | 10.9% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 17.6% | 14.7% | 7.8% |
| Robert Lippincott | 8.9% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 17.8% | 17.9% | 11.0% |
| Marly Isler | 12.7% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 17.7% | 17.4% | 15.1% | 7.1% |
| Daniel Lawless | 7.7% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 21.4% | 15.1% |
| Tony Collins | 14.0% | 16.1% | 18.1% | 17.2% | 16.3% | 12.6% | 5.7% |
| John Reddaway | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 17.0% | 52.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.