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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.56+4.60vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.94+4.95vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42+1.53vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.29+2.57vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+2.32vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.25+2.79vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.08+0.33vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.31+1.55vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-3.11vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.65+1.03vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.25-1.26vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.48-3.39vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.71-2.28vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.37-1.88vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.18-6.07vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.18-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6Boston College2.5612.8%1st Place
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6.95Dartmouth College1.947.8%1st Place
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4.53Yale University2.4218.4%1st Place
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6.57Brown University2.298.9%1st Place
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7.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.136.3%1st Place
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8.79Roger Williams University1.255.1%1st Place
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7.33Harvard University2.086.5%1st Place
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9.55University of Vermont1.313.1%1st Place
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5.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.039.8%1st Place
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11.03Connecticut College0.652.8%1st Place
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9.74Tufts University1.252.9%1st Place
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8.61Bowdoin College1.485.0%1st Place
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10.72University of Rhode Island0.712.5%1st Place
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12.12Boston University0.371.6%1st Place
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8.93Northeastern University1.184.5%1st Place
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12.31Salve Regina University0.181.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 12.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Payton Thompson | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 18.4% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Dana Haig | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Grace Gear | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 13.7% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.4% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 10.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 25.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 16.9% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.