← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.76+2.78vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida2.68+1.90vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University2.38+1.46vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston3.89-1.78vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College2.89-1.29vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University2.54-1.78vs Predicted
-
7Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.78Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
-
3.9University of South Florida2.680.1%1st Place
-
4.46Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
-
2.22College of Charleston3.890.4%1st Place
-
3.71Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
-
4.22Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
-
5.7Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marly Isler | 14.1% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 19.1% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 7.1% |
| AJ Degen | 11.2% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 19.4% | 13.9% | 7.3% |
| Daniel Lawless | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 18.6% | 20.3% | 15.5% |
| Charles Rees | 40.7% | 24.2% | 16.6% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Tony Collins | 11.9% | 18.2% | 19.2% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 6.9% |
| Robert Lippincott | 9.4% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 19.9% | 11.3% |
| John Reddaway | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 17.1% | 51.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.