← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.29+5.78vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.56+3.60vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.42+1.56vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.08+3.48vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College1.94+1.76vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont1.31+3.74vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University1.18+1.94vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University1.25+0.65vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-3.07vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College1.48-1.12vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-3.87vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island0.71-1.34vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College0.65-2.16vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University1.25-4.24vs Predicted
-
15Boston University0.37-3.05vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University0.18-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.78Brown University2.299.4%1st Place
-
5.6Boston College2.5611.3%1st Place
-
4.56Yale University2.4216.5%1st Place
-
7.48Harvard University2.087.4%1st Place
-
6.76Dartmouth College1.947.4%1st Place
-
9.74University of Vermont1.313.0%1st Place
-
8.94Northeastern University1.185.2%1st Place
-
8.65Roger Williams University1.255.6%1st Place
-
5.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0310.1%1st Place
-
8.88Bowdoin College1.485.0%1st Place
-
7.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.137.1%1st Place
-
10.66University of Rhode Island0.712.8%1st Place
-
10.84Connecticut College0.652.7%1st Place
-
9.76Tufts University1.253.4%1st Place
-
11.95Boston University0.371.3%1st Place
-
12.34Salve Regina University0.181.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 16.5% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Payton Thompson | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Grace Gear | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Dana Haig | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 12.0% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 13.5% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.8% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 22.6% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 15.9% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.