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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.89+1.19vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.38+2.41vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.89+0.63vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.54+0.21vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.68-1.00vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.76-2.17vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19College of Charleston3.890.4%1st Place
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4.41Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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3.63Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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4.21Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.0University of South Florida2.680.1%1st Place
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3.83Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.73Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Rees | 41.4% | 26.1% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Daniel Lawless | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 19.5% | 20.1% | 13.5% |
| Tony Collins | 13.1% | 17.4% | 18.7% | 17.3% | 16.5% | 11.4% | 5.6% |
| Robert Lippincott | 10.2% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 17.2% | 17.9% | 18.5% | 11.2% |
| AJ Degen | 10.4% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 18.3% | 8.4% |
| Marly Isler | 12.6% | 14.2% | 18.2% | 16.8% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 7.2% |
| John Reddaway | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 15.3% | 53.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.