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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+3.58vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.56+3.53vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.08+4.44vs Predicted
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42.13+3.22vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+0.94vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.94+0.82vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.29-0.36vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.48+0.78vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.71+1.79vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.25-0.21vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.18-2.16vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.31-2.34vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.18-0.75vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.37-2.03vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.25-6.34vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.65-4.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58Yale University2.4216.7%1st Place
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5.53Boston College2.5612.0%1st Place
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7.44Harvard University2.087.8%1st Place
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7.222.137.2%1st Place
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5.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.039.8%1st Place
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6.82Dartmouth College1.948.6%1st Place
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6.64Brown University2.298.0%1st Place
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8.78Bowdoin College1.484.8%1st Place
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10.79University of Rhode Island0.713.4%1st Place
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9.79Tufts University1.253.1%1st Place
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8.84Northeastern University1.184.5%1st Place
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9.66University of Vermont1.313.9%1st Place
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12.25Salve Regina University0.181.9%1st Place
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11.97Boston University0.371.8%1st Place
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8.66Roger Williams University1.254.2%1st Place
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11.08Connecticut College0.652.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 16.7% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Dana Haig | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Payton Thompson | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Belda | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| Megan Gimple | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 12.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| Grace Gear | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 17.0% | 26.6% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 24.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.