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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.76+2.80vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.38+2.45vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.89-0.83vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.89-0.32vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+0.89vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.68-2.04vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.54-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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4.45Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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2.17College of Charleston3.890.4%1st Place
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3.68Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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5.89Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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3.96University of South Florida2.680.1%1st Place
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4.05Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marly Isler | 13.4% | 15.5% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 8.2% |
| Daniel Lawless | 7.7% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 17.3% | 16.3% | 21.5% | 14.2% |
| Charles Rees | 39.4% | 29.0% | 16.1% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Tony Collins | 13.4% | 15.2% | 19.1% | 17.4% | 16.9% | 13.3% | 4.7% |
| John Reddaway | 2.4% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 55.4% |
| AJ Degen | 11.2% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 17.9% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 8.9% |
| Robert Lippincott | 12.5% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 16.9% | 18.8% | 18.2% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.