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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.25+7.59vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+3.87vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.08+4.54vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.56+1.59vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.94+1.87vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.31+3.73vs Predicted
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72.13+0.09vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.29-1.38vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18-0.08vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.37+2.02vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.71-0.39vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.42-7.59vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.48-3.94vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.18-1.63vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.25-5.29vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.65-5.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.59Roger Williams University1.255.5%1st Place
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5.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0310.2%1st Place
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7.54Harvard University2.086.0%1st Place
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5.59Boston College2.5612.0%1st Place
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6.87Dartmouth College1.948.2%1st Place
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9.73University of Vermont1.313.5%1st Place
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7.092.137.2%1st Place
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6.62Brown University2.297.8%1st Place
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8.92Northeastern University1.184.6%1st Place
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12.02Boston University0.371.9%1st Place
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10.61University of Rhode Island0.713.1%1st Place
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4.41Yale University2.4217.2%1st Place
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9.06Bowdoin College1.484.5%1st Place
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12.37Salve Regina University0.181.8%1st Place
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9.71Tufts University1.253.4%1st Place
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10.99Connecticut College0.653.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Emily Bornarth | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Payton Thompson | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Grace Gear | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 5.8% |
| Dana Haig | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Belda | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 23.4% |
| Megan Gimple | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 17.2% | 16.6% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 29.8% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 4.9% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.