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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.89+1.16vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.29+2.51vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.76+0.77vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.38+0.44vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+0.81vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.68-2.12vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.89-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16College of Charleston3.890.4%1st Place
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4.51Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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3.77Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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4.44Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.81Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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3.88University of South Florida2.680.1%1st Place
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3.42Eckerd College2.890.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Rees | 42.0% | 25.2% | 17.2% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Jensen | 7.7% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 21.1% | 16.0% |
| Marly Isler | 11.6% | 16.6% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 18.1% | 12.0% | 6.8% |
| Daniel Lawless | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 20.5% | 21.0% | 13.1% |
| John Reddaway | 2.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 19.0% | 51.6% |
| AJ Degen | 11.2% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 18.5% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 8.1% |
| Tony Collins | 16.4% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 19.3% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.