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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University0.94+5.41vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.53+4.64vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.89+2.15vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.37+3.01vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.06+0.09vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.07-0.67vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute-0.08+1.22vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.13+0.72vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.46-2.61vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.01-4.67vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.20-6.26vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.61-2.36vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.46-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41Roger Williams University0.947.7%1st Place
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6.64University of Rhode Island0.537.0%1st Place
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5.15Connecticut College0.8911.7%1st Place
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7.01Florida State University0.375.9%1st Place
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5.09University of Vermont1.0613.0%1st Place
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5.33Northeastern University1.0711.6%1st Place
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8.22Webb Institute-0.084.1%1st Place
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8.72SUNY Maritime College-0.133.6%1st Place
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6.39Salve Regina University0.467.7%1st Place
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5.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.0111.6%1st Place
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4.74Tufts University1.2013.7%1st Place
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9.64University of New Hampshire-0.611.9%1st Place
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12.34University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.460.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jakub Fuja | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
Cameron Silvers | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
Henry Scholz | 11.7% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Carter Weatherilt | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 1.1% |
Ethan Burt | 13.0% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Joshua Dillon | 11.6% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
Marc Leyk | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 2.6% |
Luke Barker | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 17.0% | 20.2% | 4.7% |
Emil Tullberg | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
Tomas Riccio | 11.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Courtland Doyle | 13.7% | 14.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
James Frady | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 30.6% | 9.2% |
Brooklyn Geary | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 8.7% | 78.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.