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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.81+8.85vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.92+7.50vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.65+3.72vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+1.91vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.54+1.91vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.78+0.12vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.52-0.03vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.90+1.30vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-1.80vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.38-2.19vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.33-3.18vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.50-4.57vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.94-0.27vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University at Galveston2.20-2.25vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California2.57-4.40vs Predicted
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16University of Washington1.69-2.24vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.32-2.27vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.71-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.85Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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9.5Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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6.72Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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5.91St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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6.91Old Dominion University3.540.1%1st Place
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6.12College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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6.97Brown University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.3Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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7.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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7.81Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.82Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.43Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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12.73University of Wisconsin1.940.0%1st Place
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11.75Texas A&M University at Galveston2.200.0%1st Place
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10.6University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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13.76University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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14.73University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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15.9University of Texas0.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Burke | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Margaret Tautz | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Megan Magill | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katrina Williams | 8.2% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Heausler | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Kelly Crane | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Emily Maxwell | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mary Cummins | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 7.2% |
| Laura Stamets | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 4.2% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 16.6% | 13.9% |
| Rachel Barch | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 14.5% | 22.5% | 23.7% |
| Hazel Mahony | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 19.6% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.