← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jakub Fuja 7.7% 8.3% 8.9% 8.0% 8.0% 8.9% 9.2% 9.5% 10.1% 8.3% 8.0% 4.5% 0.6%
Cameron Silvers 7.0% 7.6% 7.3% 8.5% 7.6% 9.2% 9.2% 9.4% 10.1% 10.0% 7.8% 5.1% 1.1%
Henry Scholz 11.7% 10.9% 12.4% 11.4% 11.0% 9.2% 9.5% 7.3% 8.0% 4.8% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Carter Weatherilt 5.9% 6.7% 6.8% 6.8% 7.8% 7.8% 8.9% 10.8% 10.3% 11.5% 9.5% 6.0% 1.1%
Ethan Burt 13.0% 11.7% 11.0% 10.8% 10.5% 9.9% 8.7% 9.3% 6.6% 5.0% 2.9% 0.5% 0.2%
Joshua Dillon 11.6% 10.4% 11.9% 10.4% 10.2% 9.9% 9.2% 8.5% 6.5% 5.6% 3.5% 2.2% 0.1%
Marc Leyk 4.1% 3.9% 4.9% 5.8% 6.0% 5.2% 6.8% 7.7% 9.5% 11.7% 16.4% 15.3% 2.6%
Luke Barker 3.6% 3.8% 3.9% 4.5% 4.2% 5.0% 6.3% 7.2% 8.3% 11.4% 17.0% 20.2% 4.7%
Emil Tullberg 7.7% 8.2% 7.4% 8.4% 9.2% 9.2% 9.9% 9.2% 9.4% 9.8% 6.6% 3.9% 0.9%
Tomas Riccio 11.6% 10.2% 11.2% 11.5% 10.9% 9.8% 8.3% 7.8% 7.5% 6.2% 3.5% 1.4% 0.2%
Courtland Doyle 13.7% 14.9% 11.1% 10.8% 10.8% 11.2% 9.2% 7.0% 5.3% 3.1% 2.0% 0.8% 0.1%
James Frady 1.9% 3.2% 2.8% 2.7% 3.6% 3.8% 4.0% 5.2% 7.0% 10.1% 15.8% 30.6% 9.2%
Brooklyn Geary 0.6% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.9% 0.8% 0.9% 1.4% 2.7% 3.9% 8.7% 78.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.