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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+3.51vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.94+4.80vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.56+2.56vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+1.79vs Predicted
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52.13+2.17vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.31+3.64vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.29-0.31vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.25+1.82vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.08-1.40vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.37+1.93vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.25-2.35vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.48-2.95vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.65-2.24vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.71-3.19vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.18-2.66vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.18-7.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51Yale University2.4216.0%1st Place
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6.8Dartmouth College1.948.1%1st Place
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5.56Boston College2.5612.8%1st Place
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5.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0310.5%1st Place
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7.172.137.6%1st Place
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9.64University of Vermont1.314.0%1st Place
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6.69Brown University2.297.8%1st Place
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9.82Tufts University1.253.5%1st Place
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7.6Harvard University2.087.1%1st Place
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11.93Boston University0.371.7%1st Place
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8.65Roger Williams University1.254.9%1st Place
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9.05Bowdoin College1.484.3%1st Place
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10.76Connecticut College0.652.8%1st Place
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10.81University of Rhode Island0.712.9%1st Place
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12.34Salve Regina University0.181.9%1st Place
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8.89Northeastern University1.184.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 16.0% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Payton Thompson | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Dana Haig | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Grace Gear | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 21.7% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 11.3% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 15.8% | 28.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.