← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University2.38+3.30vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida2.68+1.88vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston3.89-0.87vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College2.89-0.38vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.76-1.17vs Predicted
-
6Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-0.17vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University2.29-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.3Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
-
3.88University of South Florida2.680.1%1st Place
-
2.13College of Charleston3.890.4%1st Place
-
3.62Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
-
3.83Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
-
5.83Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
-
4.4Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lawless | 9.5% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 17.3% | 19.6% | 13.3% |
| AJ Degen | 11.2% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 19.5% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 7.4% |
| Charles Rees | 42.7% | 25.3% | 16.6% | 9.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Tony Collins | 13.6% | 16.5% | 19.0% | 17.7% | 16.4% | 11.7% | 5.1% |
| Marly Isler | 11.0% | 16.3% | 18.0% | 16.5% | 17.1% | 13.3% | 7.8% |
| John Reddaway | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 54.1% |
| Christopher Jensen | 8.9% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 17.8% | 24.3% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.