← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.08+6.56vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University1.18+6.77vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College1.48+5.87vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College1.94+2.89vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.25+4.72vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.56-0.42vs Predicted
-
7Yale University2.42-2.54vs Predicted
-
8Brown University2.29-1.22vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-1.71vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University0.18+2.39vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College0.65-0.03vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-6.11vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont1.31-3.39vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island0.71-3.37vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University1.25-6.34vs Predicted
-
16Boston University0.37-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.56Harvard University2.086.5%1st Place
-
8.77Northeastern University1.185.5%1st Place
-
8.87Bowdoin College1.484.7%1st Place
-
6.89Dartmouth College1.948.0%1st Place
-
9.72Tufts University1.254.1%1st Place
-
5.58Boston College2.5611.2%1st Place
-
4.46Yale University2.4217.6%1st Place
-
6.78Brown University2.297.2%1st Place
-
7.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.136.2%1st Place
-
12.39Salve Regina University0.181.4%1st Place
-
10.97Connecticut College0.652.3%1st Place
-
5.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0311.4%1st Place
-
9.61University of Vermont1.314.0%1st Place
-
10.63University of Rhode Island0.712.7%1st Place
-
8.66Roger Williams University1.255.2%1st Place
-
11.93Boston University0.371.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Payton Thompson | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 6.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.2% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 17.6% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% |
| Dana Haig | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 16.1% | 27.1% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 12.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Grace Gear | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.5% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 10.7% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.