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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.38+3.31vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.89+0.16vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.76+0.80vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+1.81vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.29-0.44vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.68-2.12vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.89-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.31Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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2.16College of Charleston3.890.4%1st Place
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3.8Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.81Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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4.56Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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3.88University of South Florida2.680.1%1st Place
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3.48Eckerd College2.890.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lawless | 10.0% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 17.1% | 20.4% | 12.7% |
| Charles Rees | 40.4% | 28.6% | 15.3% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Marly Isler | 12.6% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 20.7% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 6.7% |
| John Reddaway | 2.3% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 51.7% |
| Christopher Jensen | 6.9% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 23.0% | 15.5% |
| AJ Degen | 11.7% | 15.1% | 18.0% | 15.1% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 8.7% |
| Tony Collins | 16.1% | 17.6% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 18.1% | 9.7% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.