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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.76+2.76vs Predicted
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2Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+3.77vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.89-0.82vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.68+0.02vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.54-0.76vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.38-1.49vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.89-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.77Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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2.18College of Charleston3.890.4%1st Place
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4.02University of South Florida2.680.1%1st Place
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4.24Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.51Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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3.51Eckerd College2.890.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marly Isler | 13.1% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 17.4% | 12.9% | 7.2% |
| John Reddaway | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 17.9% | 51.3% |
| Charles Rees | 40.7% | 25.7% | 18.2% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| AJ Degen | 9.6% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 17.1% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 8.7% |
| Robert Lippincott | 8.4% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 18.1% | 19.1% | 11.2% |
| Daniel Lawless | 7.9% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 20.5% | 16.2% |
| Tony Collins | 17.0% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 19.3% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.