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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+4.86vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.94+4.73vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.56+2.67vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.42+0.52vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+2.26vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18+2.69vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.71+3.74vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.31+1.67vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.08-1.73vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.29-3.41vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.25-2.12vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.48-3.11vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.25-3.22vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.18-1.60vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.37-2.84vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.65-5.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0310.5%1st Place
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6.73Dartmouth College1.948.4%1st Place
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5.67Boston College2.5611.2%1st Place
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4.52Yale University2.4217.8%1st Place
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7.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.136.6%1st Place
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8.69Northeastern University1.185.2%1st Place
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10.74University of Rhode Island0.712.4%1st Place
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9.67University of Vermont1.313.8%1st Place
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7.27Harvard University2.087.1%1st Place
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6.59Brown University2.298.8%1st Place
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8.88Roger Williams University1.254.2%1st Place
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8.89Bowdoin College1.484.7%1st Place
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9.78Tufts University1.253.9%1st Place
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12.4Salve Regina University0.181.2%1st Place
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12.16Boston University0.371.3%1st Place
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10.9Connecticut College0.653.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Bornarth | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Payton Thompson | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 17.8% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 10.6% |
| Grace Gear | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 5.9% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Belda | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 5.7% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 28.3% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 23.9% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.