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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.89+2.54vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.89+0.20vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.76+0.84vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+1.87vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.54-0.77vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.38-1.54vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.68-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54Eckerd College2.890.2%1st Place
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2.2College of Charleston3.890.4%1st Place
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3.84Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.87Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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4.23Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.46Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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3.86University of South Florida2.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Collins | 15.7% | 18.5% | 16.3% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 10.4% | 6.1% |
| Charles Rees | 39.4% | 28.1% | 15.7% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Marly Isler | 12.7% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 18.5% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 7.0% |
| John Reddaway | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 54.7% |
| Robert Lippincott | 9.0% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 19.5% | 10.5% |
| Daniel Lawless | 8.3% | 8.9% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 21.7% | 14.6% |
| AJ Degen | 12.5% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 17.5% | 18.5% | 15.4% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.