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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.94+5.80vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.29+4.67vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.25+6.59vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.42+0.53vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+2.18vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-0.08vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.56-1.41vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.48+0.78vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.25-0.10vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.71+0.69vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.18-2.17vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.08-4.47vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.31-3.14vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.18-1.71vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.65-4.25vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.37-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8Dartmouth College1.948.8%1st Place
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6.67Brown University2.297.5%1st Place
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9.59Tufts University1.253.7%1st Place
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4.53Yale University2.4216.0%1st Place
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7.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.137.3%1st Place
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5.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0310.9%1st Place
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5.59Boston College2.5611.6%1st Place
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8.78Bowdoin College1.485.2%1st Place
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8.9Roger Williams University1.255.1%1st Place
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10.69University of Rhode Island0.713.4%1st Place
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8.83Northeastern University1.184.2%1st Place
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7.53Harvard University2.086.7%1st Place
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9.86University of Vermont1.312.9%1st Place
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12.29Salve Regina University0.181.9%1st Place
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10.75Connecticut College0.653.1%1st Place
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12.08Boston University0.371.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton Thompson | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Belda | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 16.0% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
| Megan Gimple | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 11.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Grace Gear | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 5.3% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 28.5% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.8% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.